Holcim Stock Price Prediction

HCMLF Stock  USD 101.60  1.60  1.60%   
As of 28th of November 2024 The relative strength index (RSI) of Holcim's share price is above 80 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Oversold Vs Overbought

80

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Holcim's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Holcim and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Holcim's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Holcim, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Holcim hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Holcim from the perspective of Holcim response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Holcim to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Holcim because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Holcim after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 101.6  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Holcim Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
96.6397.98111.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
99.63100.98102.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
96.27100.02103.78
Details

Holcim After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Holcim at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Holcim or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Holcim, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Holcim Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Holcim's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Holcim's historical news coverage. Holcim's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 100.25 and 102.95, respectively. We have considered Holcim's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
101.60
100.25
Downside
101.60
After-hype Price
102.95
Upside
Holcim is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Holcim is based on 3 months time horizon.

Holcim Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Holcim is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Holcim backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Holcim, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
1.36
 0.00  
  0.01 
0 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
101.60
101.60
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Holcim Hype Timeline

Holcim is currently traded for 101.60. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Holcim is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Holcim is about 764.04%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 101.61. About 33.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.06. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Holcim has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.59. The entity last dividend was issued on the 9th of May 2022. The firm had 21:20 split on the 8th of September 2015. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be in a few days.
Check out Holcim Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Holcim Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Holcim's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Holcim's future price movements. Getting to know how Holcim's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Holcim may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HDELYHeidelbergCement AG ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.99  0.09  3.15 (1.94) 9.40 
AHCHYAnhui Conch Cement 0.00 0 per month 3.03  0.07  5.94 (4.19) 22.18 
BZZUYBuzzi Unicem SpA 0.00 0 per month 1.14  0  2.83 (2.42) 11.24 
WBRBYWienerberger Baustoffindustrie 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 4.62 (4.60) 13.32 
USLMUnited States Lime 0.00 0 per month 1.28  0.31  6.93 (3.18) 16.29 
SMIDSmith Midland Corp 0.00 0 per month 2.85  0.12  6.92 (5.23) 22.76 
HCMLYLafargeholcim Ltd ADR 0.00 0 per month 1.01 (0.05) 1.77 (1.71) 6.48 
CPACCementos Pacasmayo SAA(0.06)9 per month 2.16 (0.03) 2.85 (2.80) 14.21 
CBUMYChina National Building 0.00 0 per month 3.84  0.10  9.50 (7.19) 43.17 
LOMALoma Negra Compania 0.91 12 per month 1.47  0.26  5.79 (3.10) 12.34 
JHXJames Hardie Industries 0.00 0 per month 2.12 (0.05) 4.32 (3.51) 16.43 
SUMSummit Materials 0.91 10 per month 1.66  0.14  4.18 (2.49) 9.88 
EXPEagle Materials 0.91 8 per month 1.34  0.09  2.94 (1.90) 7.85 
MLMMartin Marietta Materials 0.00 0 per month 1.18  0.04  1.94 (2.60) 8.83 
VMCVulcan Materials 0.00 0 per month 0.90  0.08  2.27 (1.75) 8.27 

Holcim Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Holcim price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Holcim using various technical indicators. When you analyze Holcim charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Holcim Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Holcim stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Holcim, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Holcim based on analysis of Holcim hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Holcim's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Holcim's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Holcim

The number of cover stories for Holcim depends on current market conditions and Holcim's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Holcim is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Holcim's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Holcim Short Properties

Holcim's future price predictability will typically decrease when Holcim's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Holcim often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Holcim's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Holcim's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding608 M

Complementary Tools for Holcim Pink Sheet analysis

When running Holcim's price analysis, check to measure Holcim's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Holcim is operating at the current time. Most of Holcim's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Holcim's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Holcim's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Holcim to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Stocks Directory
Find actively traded stocks across global markets
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Portfolio Backtesting
Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
Aroon Oscillator
Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios
Portfolio Diagnostics
Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world