Lafargeholcim Ltd Adr Stock Price Prediction
| HCMLY Stock | USD 20.13 0.49 2.49% |
Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Lafargeholcim hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lafargeholcim Ltd ADR from the perspective of Lafargeholcim response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lafargeholcim to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lafargeholcim because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lafargeholcim after-hype prediction price | USD 20.13 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lafargeholcim |
Lafargeholcim After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lafargeholcim at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lafargeholcim or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Lafargeholcim, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lafargeholcim Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lafargeholcim's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lafargeholcim's historical news coverage. Lafargeholcim's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.79 and 21.47, respectively. We have considered Lafargeholcim's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lafargeholcim is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lafargeholcim ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lafargeholcim Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lafargeholcim is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lafargeholcim backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lafargeholcim, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 1.35 | 0.30 | 0.06 | 14 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 14 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
20.13 | 20.13 | 0.00 |
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Lafargeholcim Hype Timeline
Lafargeholcim ADR is currently traded for 20.13. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.3, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Lafargeholcim is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 103.05%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lafargeholcim is about 551.02%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.19. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.07. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Lafargeholcim ADR has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.6. The entity last dividend was issued on the 9th of May 2022. The firm had 105:100 split on the 10th of September 2015. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be in about 14 days. Check out Lafargeholcim Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lafargeholcim Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lafargeholcim's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lafargeholcim's future price movements. Getting to know how Lafargeholcim's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lafargeholcim may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HLBZF | HeidelbergCement AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.57 | 0.1 | 7.14 | (6.53) | 16.96 | |
| CMCLF | China Molybdenum Co | 1.31 | 27 per month | 4.07 | 0.13 | 8.58 | (7.66) | 25.40 | |
| FSUMF | Fortescue Metals Group | (0.02) | 4 per month | 1.24 | 0.1 | 3.41 | (2.79) | 8.95 | |
| FSUGY | Fortescue Metals Group | 0.43 | 13 per month | 1.51 | 0.05 | 2.97 | (2.80) | 6.78 | |
| SHECF | Shin Etsu Chemical Co | 0.49 | 8 per month | 4.46 | 0.04 | 9.81 | (7.82) | 21.80 | |
| NGLOY | Anglo American PLC | 0.12 | 7 per month | 1.60 | 0.09 | 3.36 | (2.68) | 7.22 | |
| UCLQF | UltraTech Cement Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GLCNF | Glencore PLC | 1.31 | 12 per month | 1.42 | 0.21 | 3.62 | (2.44) | 10.53 | |
| CXMSF | CEMEX SAB de | (1.32) | 22 per month | 1.05 | 0.15 | 4.55 | (4.00) | 25.28 | |
| AHCHY | Anhui Conch Cement | 0.13 | 14 per month | 1.82 | (0.04) | 3.48 | (2.64) | 11.03 |
Lafargeholcim Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lafargeholcim price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lafargeholcim using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lafargeholcim charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Lafargeholcim Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lafargeholcim stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lafargeholcim Ltd ADR, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lafargeholcim based on analysis of Lafargeholcim hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lafargeholcim's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lafargeholcim's related companies.
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Lafargeholcim Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Lafargeholcim's price analysis, check to measure Lafargeholcim's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lafargeholcim is operating at the current time. Most of Lafargeholcim's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lafargeholcim's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lafargeholcim's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lafargeholcim to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.