Harvey Norman (Australia) Price Prediction
| HVN Stock | 4.79 0.07 1.48% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
42
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.12) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.3 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.34 | Wall Street Target Price 4.8523 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.015 |
Using Harvey Norman hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Harvey Norman Holdings from the perspective of Harvey Norman response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Harvey Norman to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Harvey because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Harvey Norman after-hype prediction price | AUD 4.76 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Harvey |
Harvey Norman After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Harvey Norman at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Harvey Norman or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Harvey Norman, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Harvey Norman Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Harvey Norman's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Harvey Norman's historical news coverage. Harvey Norman's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.29 and 6.23, respectively. We have considered Harvey Norman's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Harvey Norman is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Harvey Norman Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Harvey Norman Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Harvey Norman is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Harvey Norman backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Harvey Norman, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.47 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.79 | 4.76 | 0.21 |
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Harvey Norman Hype Timeline
Harvey Norman Holdings is currently traded for 4.79on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Harvey is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 4.76 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is anticipated to be 0.21%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. The volatility of related hype on Harvey Norman is about 725.93%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.79. The company reported the revenue of 3.92 B. Net Income was 352.45 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 891.97 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Harvey Norman Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Harvey Norman Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Harvey Norman's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Harvey Norman's future price movements. Getting to know how Harvey Norman's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Harvey Norman may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BTI | Bailador Technology Invest | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.71 | (0.04) | 1.72 | (1.57) | 6.56 | |
| RTH | Ras Technology Holdings | 0.04 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 3.85 | (5.33) | 14.72 | |
| CPU | Computershare | 0.45 | 1 per month | 1.23 | 0.03 | 2.16 | (1.67) | 7.50 | |
| CIN | Carlton Investments | (0.35) | 2 per month | 0.56 | (0.11) | 1.35 | (1.17) | 4.03 | |
| MAQ | Macquarie Technology Group | 1.54 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.78 | (3.24) | 9.57 | |
| BKI | BKI Investment | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.62 | (0.15) | 1.18 | (1.16) | 4.08 | |
| DUI | Diversified United Investment | (0.03) | 1 per month | 0.63 | (0.19) | 0.96 | (0.96) | 3.06 | |
| RVT | Richmond Vanadium Technology | (0.02) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 7.14 | (6.67) | 21.06 |
Harvey Norman Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Harvey price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Harvey using various technical indicators. When you analyze Harvey charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Harvey Norman Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Harvey Norman stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Harvey Norman Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Harvey Norman based on analysis of Harvey Norman hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Harvey Norman's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Harvey Norman's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Harvey Norman
The number of cover stories for Harvey Norman depends on current market conditions and Harvey Norman's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Harvey Norman is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Harvey Norman's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Harvey Norman Short Properties
Harvey Norman's future price predictability will typically decrease when Harvey Norman's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Harvey Norman Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Harvey Norman's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Harvey Norman's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 273.5 M |
Additional Tools for Harvey Stock Analysis
When running Harvey Norman's price analysis, check to measure Harvey Norman's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Harvey Norman is operating at the current time. Most of Harvey Norman's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Harvey Norman's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Harvey Norman's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Harvey Norman to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.