Ibio Inc Stock Price Prediction
| IBIO Stock | USD 2.64 0.19 7.76% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
47
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.48) | EPS Estimate Current Year (7.41) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.77) | Wall Street Target Price 4.3 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.47) |
Using Ibio hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ibio Inc from the perspective of Ibio response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ibio to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ibio because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Ibio after-hype prediction price | USD 2.62 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Ibio |
Ibio After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ibio at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ibio or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ibio, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ibio Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ibio's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ibio's historical news coverage. Ibio's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.13 and 7.75, respectively. We have considered Ibio's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ibio is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ibio Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ibio Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ibio is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ibio backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ibio, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.57 | 5.13 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 3 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.64 | 2.62 | 0.76 |
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Ibio Hype Timeline
Ibio Inc is currently traded for 2.64. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Ibio is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.62. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.76%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.57%. The volatility of related hype on Ibio is about 43971.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.65. About 32.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.36. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ibio Inc recorded a loss per share of 4.03. The entity last dividend was issued on the 11th of June 2018. The firm had 1:20 split on the 29th of November 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Ibio Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Ibio Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ibio's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ibio's future price movements. Getting to know how Ibio's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ibio may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JAGX | Jaguar Animal Health | (0.10) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 8.13 | (7.94) | 27.65 | |
| ONTX | Onconova Therapeutics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.35 | 0.08 | 7.69 | (8.33) | 66.73 | |
| GOVX | GeoVax Labs | 0.02 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 9.26 | (12.70) | 77.95 | |
| OCGN | Ocugen Inc | (0.01) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 8.08 | (6.19) | 18.12 | |
| TNXP | Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding | 0.01 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 14.29 | (13.33) | 34.91 | |
| ACST | Acasti Pharma | (0.19) | 4 per month | 2.83 | 0.05 | 9.42 | (3.85) | 25.09 | |
| DFFN | Diffusion Pharmaceuticals | 0.1 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 4.09 | (5.32) | 12.34 | |
| SONN | Sonnet Biotherapeutics Holdings | 1.15 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 12.31 | (9.79) | 37.58 | |
| PALI | Palisade Bio | 0.02 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 5.97 | (8.55) | 24.25 | |
| VXRT | Vaxart Inc | 0.02 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 4.88 | (7.37) | 20.06 | |
| ADMA | ADMA Biologics | (0.56) | 10 per month | 3.62 | 0.06 | 5.58 | (5.74) | 29.37 | |
| BCRX | BioCryst Pharmaceuticals | (0.32) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.24 | (4.52) | 18.53 |
Ibio Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ibio price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ibio using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ibio charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Ibio Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Ibio stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ibio Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ibio based on analysis of Ibio hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ibio's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ibio's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0744 | 0.0662 | Price To Sales Ratio | 39.36 | 37.39 |
Story Coverage note for Ibio
The number of cover stories for Ibio depends on current market conditions and Ibio's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ibio is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ibio's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ibio Short Properties
Ibio's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ibio's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ibio Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ibio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ibio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 14.2 M |
Check out Ibio Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ibio. If investors know Ibio will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ibio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (4.03) | Revenue Per Share 0.059 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.88) | Return On Assets (0.30) | Return On Equity (0.84) |
The market value of Ibio Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ibio that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ibio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ibio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ibio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ibio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ibio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ibio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ibio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.