Icl Israel Chemicals Stock Price Prediction
| ICL Stock | USD 4.62 0.18 4.05% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
52
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.18) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.08 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.3714 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.4353 | Wall Street Target Price 4.74 |
Using ICL Israel hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ICL Israel Chemicals from the perspective of ICL Israel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ICL Israel to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ICL because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
ICL Israel after-hype prediction price | USD 4.62 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
ICL |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ICL Israel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ICL Israel After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ICL Israel at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ICL Israel or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ICL Israel, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ICL Israel Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ICL Israel's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ICL Israel's historical news coverage. ICL Israel's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.19 and 7.05, respectively. We have considered ICL Israel's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ICL Israel is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ICL Israel Chemicals is based on 3 months time horizon.
ICL Israel Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ICL Israel is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ICL Israel backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ICL Israel, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 2.43 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 10 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.62 | 4.62 | 0.00 |
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ICL Israel Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November ICL Israel Chemicals is traded for 4.62. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.04. ICL is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on ICL Israel is about 655.15%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.58. About 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.98. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. ICL Israel Chemicals has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 918.89. The entity last dividend was issued on the 4th of December 2024. The firm had 138:100 split on the October 11, 2013. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out ICL Israel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.ICL Israel Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ICL Israel's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ICL Israel's future price movements. Getting to know how ICL Israel's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ICL Israel may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CF | CF Industries Holdings | 0.03 | 12 per month | 1.57 | 0.07 | 2.17 | (2.19) | 6.82 | |
| MOS | The Mosaic | (1.73) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.43 | (3.92) | 13.10 | |
| AVD | American Vanguard | (0.19) | 10 per month | 2.50 | 0.04 | 4.25 | (4.12) | 15.23 | |
| UAN | CVR Partners LP | 0.62 | 7 per month | 1.67 | (0.04) | 3.17 | (1.80) | 10.77 | |
| IPI | Intrepid Potash | 0.05 | 10 per month | 1.96 | 0.08 | 4.95 | (3.95) | 14.45 | |
| BIOX | Bioceres Crop Solutions | 0.05 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 2.70 | (3.89) | 23.31 | |
| CTA-PB | E I du | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.21 | (0.02) | 2.40 | (2.32) | 6.06 | |
| FMC | FMC Corporation | (1.68) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.86 | (3.42) | 16.03 | |
| BHIL | Benson Hill, Common | 0.05 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.49 | (5.11) | 20.89 | |
| NTR | Nutrien | (0.64) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.31 | (2.10) | 8.77 | |
| CTVA | Corteva | (0.64) | 9 per month | 1.41 | 0.04 | 2.19 | (2.38) | 7.90 |
ICL Israel Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ICL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ICL using various technical indicators. When you analyze ICL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About ICL Israel Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of ICL Israel stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ICL Israel Chemicals, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ICL Israel based on analysis of ICL Israel hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ICL Israel's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ICL Israel's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0231 | 0.12 | 0.0734 | 0.0407 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.78 | 0.94 | 0.86 | 0.81 |
Story Coverage note for ICL Israel
The number of cover stories for ICL Israel depends on current market conditions and ICL Israel's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ICL Israel is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ICL Israel's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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ICL Israel Short Properties
ICL Israel's future price predictability will typically decrease when ICL Israel's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ICL Israel Chemicals often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ICL Israel's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ICL Israel's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 592 M |
Check out ICL Israel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Is Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ICL Israel. If investors know ICL will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ICL Israel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.18) | Dividend Share 0.2 | Earnings Share 0.31 | Revenue Per Share 5.373 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
The market value of ICL Israel Chemicals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ICL that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ICL Israel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ICL Israel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ICL Israel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ICL Israel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ICL Israel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ICL Israel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ICL Israel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.