Icon Plc Stock Price Patterns
| ICLR Stock | USD 180.25 5.64 3.03% |
Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.99) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 3.4325 | EPS Estimate Current Year 13.0768 | EPS Estimate Next Year 13.2325 | Wall Street Target Price 206.375 |
Using ICON PLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ICON PLC from the perspective of ICON PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards ICON PLC using ICON PLC's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ICON using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of ICON PLC's stock price.
ICON PLC Short Interest
An investor who is long ICON PLC may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about ICON PLC and may potentially protect profits, hedge ICON PLC with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 165.3491 | Short Percent 0.0362 | Short Ratio 3 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.6 M | 50 Day MA 181.7162 |
ICON PLC Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to ICON PLC's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ICON. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ICON can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around ICON PLC. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of ICON PLC's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about ICON PLC.
ICON PLC Implied Volatility | 0.52 |
ICON PLC's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of ICON PLC stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if ICON PLC's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that ICON PLC stock will not fluctuate a lot when ICON PLC's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ICON PLC to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ICON because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
ICON PLC after-hype prediction price | USD 180.91 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current ICON contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that ICON PLC will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0325% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With ICON PLC trading at USD 180.25, that is roughly USD 0.0586 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating ICON PLC's daily price movement you should consider acquiring ICON PLC options at the current volatility level of 0.52%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out ICON PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. ICON PLC After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ICON PLC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ICON PLC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ICON PLC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ICON PLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ICON PLC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ICON PLC's historical news coverage. ICON PLC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 178.47 and 183.35, respectively. We have considered ICON PLC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ICON PLC is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ICON PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
ICON PLC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ICON PLC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ICON PLC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ICON PLC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 2.44 | 0.66 | 0.11 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
180.25 | 180.91 | 0.37 |
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ICON PLC Hype Timeline
ICON PLC is currently traded for 180.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.66, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. ICON is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 180.91 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 51.69%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.37%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on ICON PLC is about 323.61%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 180.14. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 8.28 B. Net Income was 791.47 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.28 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out ICON PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.ICON PLC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ICON PLC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ICON PLC's future price movements. Getting to know how ICON PLC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ICON PLC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EXAS | EXACT Sciences | 0.02 | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.19 | 3.77 | (1.06) | 24.01 | |
| GH | Guardant Health | 0.77 | 8 per month | 1.60 | 0.17 | 5.53 | (3.15) | 33.86 | |
| MEDP | Medpace Holdings | (3.13) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.02 | (2.33) | 10.01 | |
| QGEN | Qiagen NV | (1.22) | 9 per month | 1.22 | 0.07 | 2.86 | (2.50) | 19.10 | |
| UHS | Universal Health Services | (2.96) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.49 | (2.94) | 8.92 | |
| RVTY | Revvity | (2.56) | 11 per month | 1.62 | 0.05 | 4.52 | (3.04) | 9.05 | |
| COO | The Cooper Companies | 1.18 | 10 per month | 1.15 | 0.05 | 2.84 | (2.03) | 10.26 | |
| EHC | Encompass Health Corp | (0.1) | 18 per month | 0.00 | (0.34) | 1.39 | (2.49) | 7.86 | |
| NBIX | Neurocrine Biosciences | 0.21 | 22 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.43 | (3.45) | 12.11 | |
| SOLV | Solventum Corp | 0.25 | 10 per month | 1.61 | 0.03 | 2.91 | (2.08) | 14.51 |
ICON PLC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ICON price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ICON using various technical indicators. When you analyze ICON charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About ICON PLC Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of ICON PLC stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ICON PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ICON PLC based on analysis of ICON PLC hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ICON PLC's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ICON PLC's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 130.32 | 125.66 | 113.1 | 100.66 | PTB Ratio | 2.52 | 1.82 | 1.63 | 2.02 |
Pair Trading with ICON PLC
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if ICON PLC position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ICON PLC will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with ICON Stock
Moving against ICON Stock
| 0.68 | ATMV | ATMV Old Symbol Change | PairCorr |
| 0.62 | PTAIF | PT Astra International | PairCorr |
| 0.61 | SEER | Seer Inc | PairCorr |
| 0.44 | ODC | Oil Dri | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to ICON PLC could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace ICON PLC when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back ICON PLC - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling ICON PLC to buy it.
The correlation of ICON PLC is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as ICON PLC moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if ICON PLC moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for ICON PLC can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for ICON Stock Analysis
When running ICON PLC's price analysis, check to measure ICON PLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ICON PLC is operating at the current time. Most of ICON PLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ICON PLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ICON PLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ICON PLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.