Ishares International Treasury Etf Price Prediction
| IGOV Etf | USD 42.91 0.50 1.18% |
Momentum 46
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using IShares International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of iShares International Treasury from the perspective of IShares International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards IShares International using IShares International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards IShares using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of IShares International's stock price.
IShares International Implied Volatility | 0.28 |
IShares International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of iShares International Treasury stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if IShares International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that IShares International stock will not fluctuate a lot when IShares International's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in IShares International to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying IShares because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
IShares International after-hype prediction price | USD 42.91 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current IShares contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that iShares International Treasury will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0175% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With IShares International trading at USD 42.91, that is roughly USD 0.007509 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating IShares International's daily price movement you should consider acquiring iShares International Treasury options at the current volatility level of 0.28%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out IShares International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. IShares International After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of IShares International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in IShares International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of IShares International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
IShares International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting IShares International's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on IShares International's historical news coverage. IShares International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 42.56 and 43.26, respectively. We have considered IShares International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
IShares International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of iShares International is based on 3 months time horizon.
IShares International Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as IShares International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading IShares International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with IShares International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 0.35 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
42.91 | 42.91 | 0.00 |
|
IShares International Hype Timeline
iShares International is currently traded for 42.91. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. IShares is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 116.67%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on IShares International is about 3888.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 42.91. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out IShares International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.IShares International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to IShares International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict IShares International's future price movements. Getting to know how IShares International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how IShares International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BSJQ | Invesco BulletShares 2026 | 0.04 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.76) | 0.13 | (0.09) | 0.30 | |
| GEM | Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta | (0.13) | 9 per month | 0.49 | 0.13 | 1.45 | (1.08) | 3.27 | |
| HFXI | IQ 50 Percent | 0.06 | 21 per month | 0.49 | 0.11 | 1.17 | (1.14) | 3.19 | |
| JKD | iShares Morningstar Equity | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.76 | (0.02) | 1.12 | (1.25) | 4.08 | |
| ILCV | iShares Morningstar Value | (0.02) | 5 per month | 0.43 | 0.04 | 1.11 | (0.82) | 3.26 | |
| IGEB | iShares Edge Investment | (0.37) | 4 per month | 0.20 | (0.35) | 0.33 | (0.37) | 0.77 | |
| IBTI | iShares iBonds Dec | 0.02 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.81) | 0.13 | (0.13) | 0.36 | |
| PWZ | Invesco California AMT Free | 0.31 | 5 per month | 0.19 | (0.36) | 0.37 | (0.29) | 1.12 | |
| BHYB | Xtrackers USD High | 0.06 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 0.30 | (0.20) | 0.76 | |
| DFEV | Dimensional ETF Trust | (0.06) | 3 per month | 0.43 | 0.17 | 1.39 | (1.07) | 3.14 |
IShares International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine IShares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for IShares using various technical indicators. When you analyze IShares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About IShares International Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of IShares International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as iShares International Treasury, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of IShares International based on analysis of IShares International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to IShares International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to IShares International's related companies.
Thematic Opportunities
Explore Investment Opportunities
Check out IShares International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Investors evaluate iShares International using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating IShares International's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investment professionals apply varied valuation frameworks to compute inherent worth and acquire positions when market prices trade at discounts to calculated value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause IShares International's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IShares International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IShares International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, IShares International's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.