Jaguar Animal Health Stock Price Prediction

JAGX Stock  USD 1.00  0.03  2.91%   
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Jaguar Animal's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Oversold Vs Overbought

41

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Jaguar Animal's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Jaguar Animal Health, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Jaguar Animal's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(1.67)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(2.06)
Wall Street Target Price
6
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(2.37)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.017
Using Jaguar Animal hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Jaguar Animal Health from the perspective of Jaguar Animal response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Jaguar Animal to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Jaguar because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Jaguar Animal after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Jaguar Animal Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.226.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.025.60
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.466.006.66
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.72-0.72-0.72
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jaguar Animal. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jaguar Animal's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jaguar Animal's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jaguar Animal Health.

Jaguar Animal After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Jaguar Animal at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Jaguar Animal or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Jaguar Animal, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Jaguar Animal Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Jaguar Animal's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Jaguar Animal's historical news coverage. Jaguar Animal's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 5.57, respectively. We have considered Jaguar Animal's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.00
1.00
After-hype Price
5.57
Upside
Jaguar Animal is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Jaguar Animal Health is based on 3 months time horizon.

Jaguar Animal Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Jaguar Animal is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Jaguar Animal backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Jaguar Animal, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
4.57
 0.00  
  0.03 
6 Events / Month
12 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.00
1.00
0.00 
22,850  
Notes

Jaguar Animal Hype Timeline

Jaguar Animal Health is currently traded for 1.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.03. Jaguar is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Jaguar Animal is about 1136.19%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.97. About 12.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.87. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Jaguar Animal Health recorded earning per share (EPS) of 20.2. The entity last dividend was issued on the 7th of June 2019. The firm had 1:60 split on the 23rd of May 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Jaguar Animal Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Jaguar Animal Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Jaguar Animal's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Jaguar Animal's future price movements. Getting to know how Jaguar Animal's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Jaguar Animal may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ONTXOnconova Therapeutics 0.00 0 per month 4.35  0.08  7.69 (8.33) 66.73 
IBIOIbio Inc(0.03)3 per month 3.54  0.07  7.76 (6.47) 30.48 
GOVXGeoVax Labs(0.40)6 per month 0.00 (0.1) 9.26 (11.63) 77.95 
OCGNOcugen Inc 0.01 9 per month 0.00 (0.16) 8.08 (6.19) 18.12 
EFTREffector Therapeutics(0.06)4 per month 0.00 (0.31) 8.70 (27.78) 88.91 
VIRIVirios Therapeutics Llc 0.14 5 per month 0.00 (0.06) 12.46 (10.62) 50.54 
ZURAZura Bio Limited(0.12)9 per month 0.00 (0.09) 7.95 (7.94) 26.70 
NAVBNavidea Biopharmaceuticals 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 12.50 (12.50) 40.40 
ZVSAZyVersa Therapeutics(0.1)4 per month 0.00 (0.15) 7.57 (9.60) 78.93 
TNXPTonix Pharmaceuticals Holding(0.01)11 per month 0.00 (0.1) 14.29 (13.33) 34.76 
ACSTAcasti Pharma(0.19)4 per month 2.83  0.05  9.42 (3.85) 25.09 
DFFNDiffusion Pharmaceuticals 0.1 5 per month 0.00 (0.21) 4.09 (5.32) 12.34 
PHIOPhio Pharmaceuticals Corp(0.01)6 per month 0.00 (0.05) 11.78 (10.38) 36.22 
SONNSonnet Biotherapeutics Holdings 1.15 6 per month 0.00 (0.16) 12.31 (9.79) 37.58 
ATNF180 Life Sciences(7.69)7 per month 7.26  0.08  16.10 (11.29) 358.73 
CDIOCardio Diagnostics Holdings(0.01)5 per month 0.00 (0.01) 14.81 (13.16) 57.04 
VXRTVaxart Inc(0.01)8 per month 0.00 (0.18) 4.88 (5.95) 20.06 
VBIVVBI Vaccines(0.01)8 per month 0.00 (0.11) 5.63 (33.09) 163.49 

Jaguar Animal Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Jaguar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jaguar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jaguar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Jaguar Animal Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Jaguar Animal stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Jaguar Animal Health, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Jaguar Animal based on analysis of Jaguar Animal hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Jaguar Animal's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Jaguar Animal's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Payables Turnover0.470.350.410.32
Days Of Inventory On Hand766.611.3K1.6K1.1K

Story Coverage note for Jaguar Animal

The number of cover stories for Jaguar Animal depends on current market conditions and Jaguar Animal's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Jaguar Animal is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Jaguar Animal's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Jaguar Animal Short Properties

Jaguar Animal's future price predictability will typically decrease when Jaguar Animal's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Jaguar Animal Health often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Jaguar Animal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jaguar Animal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding384.5 K
Cash And Short Term Investments6.5 M

Additional Tools for Jaguar Stock Analysis

When running Jaguar Animal's price analysis, check to measure Jaguar Animal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jaguar Animal is operating at the current time. Most of Jaguar Animal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jaguar Animal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jaguar Animal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jaguar Animal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.