Kao Corporation Stock Price Prediction
| KAOCF Stock | USD 36.96 0.00 0.00% |
Momentum 59
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Kao hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kao Corporation from the perspective of Kao response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kao to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kao because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Kao after-hype prediction price | USD 36.96 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Kao |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kao's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kao After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kao at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kao or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Kao, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kao Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kao's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kao's historical news coverage. Kao's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.59 and 41.33, respectively. We have considered Kao's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kao is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kao Corporation is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kao Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kao is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kao backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kao, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 4.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
36.96 | 36.96 | 0.00 |
|
Kao Hype Timeline
Kao Corporation is now traded for 36.96. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Kao is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kao is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.96. About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Kao was now reported as 2091.99. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.24. Kao Corporation last dividend was issued on the 29th of June 2023. The entity had 11:10 split on the 26th of March 1992. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Kao Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Kao Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kao's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kao's future price movements. Getting to know how Kao's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kao may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ETTYF | Essity AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 0.00 | (0.49) | 6.56 | |
| BDRFF | Beiersdorf Aktiengesellschaft | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.48 | 0.05 | 3.92 | (2.42) | 15.82 | |
| BDRFY | Beiersdorf AG ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.13 | 0.07 | 2.40 | (1.88) | 7.76 | |
| DQJCY | Pan Pacific International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.77 | (0.03) | 3.26 | (2.91) | 11.68 | |
| JDEPF | JDE Peets NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.45 | |
| FMXUF | Fomento Econmico Mexicano | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 0.96 | (0.94) | 8.79 | |
| HKHHY | Heineken Holding NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.00 | 0.02 | 2.50 | (1.59) | 6.08 | |
| HKHHF | Heineken Holding NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.91 | (0.03) | 1.73 | (2.02) | 7.11 | |
| CABJF | Carlsberg AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.29 | 0.04 | 2.50 | (3.47) | 15.75 | |
| CLEGF | Coles Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.52 |
Kao Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kao price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kao using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kao charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Kao Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Kao stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kao Corporation, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kao based on analysis of Kao hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kao's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kao's related companies.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Complementary Tools for Kao Pink Sheet analysis
When running Kao's price analysis, check to measure Kao's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kao is operating at the current time. Most of Kao's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kao's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kao's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kao to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Cryptocurrency Center Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency | |
| Bollinger Bands Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon | |
| Portfolio Manager State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital | |
| AI Portfolio Prophet Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities | |
| Crypto Correlations Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins | |
| Technical Analysis Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data | |
| Instant Ratings Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| ETFs Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world | |
| Portfolio Suggestion Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios |