Kodiak Gas Services Stock Price Prediction
| KGS Stock | 36.89 0.75 1.99% |
Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 6.167 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5816 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.9872 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.3474 | Wall Street Target Price 43.1818 |
Using Kodiak Gas hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kodiak Gas Services from the perspective of Kodiak Gas response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Kodiak Gas using Kodiak Gas' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Kodiak using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Kodiak Gas' stock price.
Kodiak Gas Short Interest
An investor who is long Kodiak Gas may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Kodiak Gas and may potentially protect profits, hedge Kodiak Gas with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 34.743 | Short Percent 0.0916 | Short Ratio 2.63 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.6 M | 50 Day MA 35.5946 |
Kodiak Gas Services Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Kodiak Gas' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Kodiak. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Kodiak can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Kodiak Gas Services. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Kodiak Gas' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Kodiak Gas.
Kodiak Gas Implied Volatility | 0.45 |
Kodiak Gas' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Kodiak Gas Services stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Kodiak Gas' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Kodiak Gas stock will not fluctuate a lot when Kodiak Gas' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kodiak Gas to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kodiak because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Kodiak Gas after-hype prediction price | USD 37.73 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Kodiak contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Kodiak Gas Services will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0281% per day over the life of the 2026-02-20 option contract. With Kodiak Gas trading at USD 36.89, that is roughly USD 0.0104 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Kodiak Gas' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Kodiak Gas Services options at the current volatility level of 0.45%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Kodiak Gas Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Kodiak Gas After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kodiak Gas at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kodiak Gas or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kodiak Gas, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kodiak Gas Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kodiak Gas' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kodiak Gas' historical news coverage. Kodiak Gas' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.81 and 39.65, respectively. We have considered Kodiak Gas' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kodiak Gas is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kodiak Gas Services is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kodiak Gas Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kodiak Gas is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kodiak Gas backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kodiak Gas, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 1.92 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
36.89 | 37.73 | 0.24 |
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Kodiak Gas Hype Timeline
On the 5th of January Kodiak Gas Services is traded for 36.89. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Kodiak is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 37.73 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.24%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Kodiak Gas is about 48000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.89. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.16 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 50.33 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 806.57 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Kodiak Gas Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Kodiak Gas Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kodiak Gas' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kodiak Gas' future price movements. Getting to know how Kodiak Gas' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kodiak Gas may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| USAC | USA Compression Partners | (0.19) | 10 per month | 1.63 | (0.02) | 2.94 | (3.19) | 10.46 | |
| WHD | Cactus Inc | 0.07 | 7 per month | 1.96 | 0.10 | 3.53 | (3.90) | 11.21 | |
| LBRT | Liberty Oilfield Services | (0.13) | 9 per month | 3.20 | 0.15 | 4.81 | (6.06) | 35.75 | |
| STNG | Scorpio Tankers | (1.62) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.79 | (2.67) | 6.33 | |
| SEI | Solaris Energy Infrastructure | 1.05 | 9 per month | 4.26 | 0.08 | 7.29 | (5.79) | 30.25 | |
| TDW | Tidewater | 1.08 | 10 per month | 3.09 | (0.02) | 5.06 | (6.07) | 15.89 | |
| ARLP | Alliance Resource Partners | (0.08) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.96 | (2.49) | 7.01 | |
| OII | Oceaneering International | 0.17 | 9 per month | 2.36 | (0.01) | 3.97 | (4.20) | 12.51 | |
| PAGP | Plains GP Holdings | (0.14) | 10 per month | 0.80 | 0.07 | 1.57 | (1.32) | 3.89 | |
| RIG | Transocean | (0.17) | 10 per month | 2.41 | 0.14 | 5.53 | (3.50) | 20.08 |
Kodiak Gas Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kodiak price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kodiak using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kodiak charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Kodiak Gas Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Kodiak Gas stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kodiak Gas Services, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kodiak Gas based on analysis of Kodiak Gas hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kodiak Gas's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kodiak Gas's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0528 | 0.0395 | 0.0454 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.61 | 2.93 | 2.63 |
Story Coverage note for Kodiak Gas
The number of cover stories for Kodiak Gas depends on current market conditions and Kodiak Gas' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kodiak Gas is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kodiak Gas' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kodiak Gas Short Properties
Kodiak Gas' future price predictability will typically decrease when Kodiak Gas' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kodiak Gas Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kodiak Gas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kodiak Gas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 85.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.8 M |
Additional Tools for Kodiak Stock Analysis
When running Kodiak Gas' price analysis, check to measure Kodiak Gas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kodiak Gas is operating at the current time. Most of Kodiak Gas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kodiak Gas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kodiak Gas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kodiak Gas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.