Kingspan Group Plc Stock Price Prediction
| KGSPY Stock | USD 77.47 0.20 0.26% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
44
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Kingspan Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kingspan Group PLC from the perspective of Kingspan Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kingspan Group to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kingspan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Kingspan Group after-hype prediction price | USD 77.47 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Kingspan |
Kingspan Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kingspan Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kingspan Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Kingspan Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kingspan Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kingspan Group's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kingspan Group's historical news coverage. Kingspan Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 75.69 and 79.25, respectively. We have considered Kingspan Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kingspan Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kingspan Group PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kingspan Group Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kingspan Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kingspan Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kingspan Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.86 | 0 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
77.47 | 77.47 | 0.00 |
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Kingspan Group Hype Timeline
Kingspan Group PLC is now traded for 77.47. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.86. Kingspan is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kingspan Group is about 33.15%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 76.61. The book value of the company was now reported as 17.71. The company last dividend was issued on the 8th of September 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out Kingspan Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Kingspan Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kingspan Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kingspan Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Kingspan Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kingspan Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CARR | Carrier Global Corp | (0.20) | 12 per month | 1.85 | 0.03 | 2.43 | (1.87) | 11.86 | |
| JCI | Johnson Controls International | (0.18) | 11 per month | 0.83 | 0.08 | 2.49 | (1.66) | 10.49 | |
| LII | Lennox International | (20.22) | 9 per month | 1.37 | 0.07 | 2.89 | (2.28) | 7.45 | |
| MAS | Masco | (0.49) | 10 per month | 1.14 | (0.08) | 1.64 | (1.94) | 4.28 | |
| CSL | Carlisle Companies Incorporated | (5.76) | 9 per month | 1.89 | 0.03 | 2.58 | (1.93) | 12.15 |
Kingspan Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kingspan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kingspan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kingspan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Kingspan Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Kingspan Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kingspan Group PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kingspan Group based on analysis of Kingspan Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kingspan Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kingspan Group's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Kingspan Group
The number of cover stories for Kingspan Group depends on current market conditions and Kingspan Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kingspan Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kingspan Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kingspan Group Short Properties
Kingspan Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kingspan Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kingspan Group PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kingspan Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kingspan Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 182.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 641.4 M |
Additional Tools for Kingspan Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Kingspan Group's price analysis, check to measure Kingspan Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kingspan Group is operating at the current time. Most of Kingspan Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kingspan Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kingspan Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kingspan Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.