Kura Oncology Stock Price Prediction
| KURA Stock | USD 8.03 0.34 4.42% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
18
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.65) | EPS Estimate Current Year (2.41) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.85) | Wall Street Target Price 28.3571 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.63) |
Using Kura Oncology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kura Oncology from the perspective of Kura Oncology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Kura Oncology using Kura Oncology's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Kura using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Kura Oncology's stock price.
Kura Oncology Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Kura Oncology's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Kura. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Kura Oncology stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 17.3407 | Short Percent 0.1057 | Short Ratio 4.6 | Shares Short Prior Month 10.4 M | 50 Day MA 9.7959 |
Kura Oncology Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Kura Oncology's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Kura. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Kura can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Kura Oncology. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Kura Oncology's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Kura Oncology.
Kura Oncology Implied Volatility | 2.2 |
Kura Oncology's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Kura Oncology stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Kura Oncology's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Kura Oncology stock will not fluctuate a lot when Kura Oncology's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kura Oncology to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kura because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Kura Oncology after-hype prediction price | USD 7.77 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Kura contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Kura Oncology will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.14% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Kura Oncology trading at USD 8.03, that is roughly USD 0.011 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Kura Oncology's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Kura Oncology options at the current volatility level of 2.2%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Kura |
Kura Oncology After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kura Oncology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kura Oncology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kura Oncology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kura Oncology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kura Oncology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kura Oncology's historical news coverage. Kura Oncology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.23 and 13.31, respectively. We have considered Kura Oncology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kura Oncology is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kura Oncology is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kura Oncology Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kura Oncology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kura Oncology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kura Oncology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.15 | 5.54 | 0.26 | 0.27 | 8 Events / Month | 14 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
8.03 | 7.77 | 3.24 |
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Kura Oncology Hype Timeline
Kura Oncology is now traded for 8.03. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.26, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.27. Kura is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 7.77. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -3.24%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -1.15%. The volatility of related hype on Kura Oncology is about 2323.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.76. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.47. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Kura Oncology recorded a loss per share of 2.35. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Kura Oncology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Kura Oncology Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kura Oncology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kura Oncology's future price movements. Getting to know how Kura Oncology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kura Oncology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Kura Oncology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kura price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kura using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kura charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Kura Oncology Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Kura Oncology stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kura Oncology, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kura Oncology based on analysis of Kura Oncology hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kura Oncology's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kura Oncology's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Kura Oncology
The number of cover stories for Kura Oncology depends on current market conditions and Kura Oncology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kura Oncology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kura Oncology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kura Oncology Short Properties
Kura Oncology's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kura Oncology's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kura Oncology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kura Oncology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kura Oncology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 73.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 424 M |
Complementary Tools for Kura Stock analysis
When running Kura Oncology's price analysis, check to measure Kura Oncology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kura Oncology is operating at the current time. Most of Kura Oncology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kura Oncology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kura Oncology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kura Oncology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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