Kyushu Electric Power Stock Price Prediction
| KYSEF Stock | USD 10.40 0.02 0.19% |
Momentum 39
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Kyushu Electric hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kyushu Electric Power from the perspective of Kyushu Electric response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kyushu Electric to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kyushu because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Kyushu Electric after-hype prediction price | USD 10.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Kyushu |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kyushu Electric's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kyushu Electric After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kyushu Electric at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kyushu Electric or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Kyushu Electric, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kyushu Electric Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kyushu Electric's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kyushu Electric's historical news coverage. Kyushu Electric's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.57 and 13.23, respectively. We have considered Kyushu Electric's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kyushu Electric is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kyushu Electric Power is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kyushu Electric Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kyushu Electric is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kyushu Electric backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kyushu Electric, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 2.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.40 | 10.40 | 0.00 |
|
Kyushu Electric Hype Timeline
Kyushu Electric Power is now traded for 10.40. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Kyushu is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kyushu Electric is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.40. About 37.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.64. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Kyushu Electric Power last dividend was issued on the 30th of March 2022. The entity had 101:100 split on the 26th of September 1995. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Kyushu Electric Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Kyushu Electric Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kyushu Electric's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kyushu Electric's future price movements. Getting to know how Kyushu Electric's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kyushu Electric may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DIPGF | Datang International Power | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TEPCF | Tohoku Electric Power | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CPRHF | Capital Power Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.25 | |
| AGLNF | AGL Energy Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 2.26 | (2.24) | 16.77 | |
| ACLTF | ATCO | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.21 | 4.52 | 0.00 | 12.18 | |
| COENF | Contact Energy Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.61 | |
| AGLXY | AGL Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.46 | 0.06 | 3.07 | (2.50) | 11.06 | |
| EDRWY | Electric Power Development | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.60 | |
| NPIFF | Northland Power | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.30 | (2.67) | 30.58 | |
| EPWDF | Electric Power Development | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Kyushu Electric Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kyushu price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kyushu using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kyushu charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Kyushu Electric Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Kyushu Electric stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kyushu Electric Power, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kyushu Electric based on analysis of Kyushu Electric hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kyushu Electric's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kyushu Electric's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Kyushu Electric
The number of cover stories for Kyushu Electric depends on current market conditions and Kyushu Electric's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kyushu Electric is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kyushu Electric's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Complementary Tools for Kyushu Pink Sheet analysis
When running Kyushu Electric's price analysis, check to measure Kyushu Electric's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kyushu Electric is operating at the current time. Most of Kyushu Electric's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kyushu Electric's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kyushu Electric's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kyushu Electric to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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