Limoneira Co Stock Price Prediction

LMNR Stock  USD 27.33  0.16  0.58%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Limoneira's the stock price is slightly above 61. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Limoneira, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

61

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Limoneira's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Limoneira and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Limoneira's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Limoneira Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Limoneira's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.96
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.63
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.27
Wall Street Target Price
25.3333
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.33
Using Limoneira hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Limoneira Co from the perspective of Limoneira response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Limoneira to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Limoneira because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Limoneira after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 27.21  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Limoneira Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.8224.8930.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.8726.9429.00
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
18.3820.2022.42
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.160.160.16
Details

Limoneira After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Limoneira at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Limoneira or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Limoneira, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Limoneira Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Limoneira's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Limoneira's historical news coverage. Limoneira's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.14 and 29.28, respectively. We have considered Limoneira's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
27.33
27.21
After-hype Price
29.28
Upside
Limoneira is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Limoneira is based on 3 months time horizon.

Limoneira Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Limoneira is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Limoneira backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Limoneira, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.18 
2.08
  0.12 
  0.09 
9 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
27.33
27.21
0.44 
320.00  
Notes

Limoneira Hype Timeline

Limoneira is now traded for 27.33. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. Limoneira is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 27.21. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.44%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Limoneira is about 421.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.24. About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Limoneira was now reported as 10.21. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 124.73. Limoneira last dividend was issued on the 7th of October 2024. The entity had 10:1 split on the 8th of April 2010. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Limoneira Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Limoneira Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Limoneira's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Limoneira's future price movements. Getting to know how Limoneira's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Limoneira may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LANCLancaster Colony(4.05)9 per month 1.53  0.0009  3.43 (2.05) 9.59 
THSTreehouse Foods(0.51)7 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.71 (2.61) 17.32 
JBSSJohn B Sanfilippo(0.73)9 per month 0.00 (0.15) 1.54 (2.16) 12.01 
SENEASeneca Foods Corp(1.57)4 per month 1.45  0.11  2.87 (1.85) 11.87 
BRBRBellring Brands LLC 1.89 7 per month 0.11  0.37  2.61 (0.91) 4.71 
PPCPilgrims Pride Corp 0.83 5 per month 2.21  0.06  3.57 (3.42) 13.48 
SJMJM Smucker(0.05)10 per month 0.00 (0.16) 2.34 (1.72) 6.05 
NOMDNomad Foods(0.34)8 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.03 (2.59) 6.49 
POSTPost Holdings(1.10)8 per month 0.90 (0.12) 1.73 (1.54) 3.27 
SMPLSimply Good Foods 0.70 8 per month 1.03  0.13  2.91 (1.69) 5.79 

Limoneira Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Limoneira price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Limoneira using various technical indicators. When you analyze Limoneira charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Limoneira Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Limoneira stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Limoneira Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Limoneira based on analysis of Limoneira hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Limoneira's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Limoneira's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02780.02340.0210.0113
Price To Sales Ratio1.131.41.613.11

Story Coverage note for Limoneira

The number of cover stories for Limoneira depends on current market conditions and Limoneira's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Limoneira is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Limoneira's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Limoneira Short Properties

Limoneira's future price predictability will typically decrease when Limoneira's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Limoneira Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Limoneira's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Limoneira's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding17.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.6 M

Additional Tools for Limoneira Stock Analysis

When running Limoneira's price analysis, check to measure Limoneira's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Limoneira is operating at the current time. Most of Limoneira's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Limoneira's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Limoneira's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Limoneira to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.