Local Bounti Corp Stock Price Patterns

LOCL Stock  USD 2.10  0.10  4.55%   
As of now, the relative strength index (RSI) of Local Bounti's share price is approaching 46. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Local Bounti, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 46

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Local Bounti's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Local Bounti and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Local Bounti's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Local Bounti Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Local Bounti's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.60)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(4.83)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(1.93)
Wall Street Target Price
6
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.65)
Using Local Bounti hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Local Bounti Corp from the perspective of Local Bounti response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Local Bounti to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Local because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Local Bounti after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.19  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Local Bounti Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Local Bounti's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.153.096.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.042.206.00
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.466.006.66
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-1.21-1.21-1.21
Details

Local Bounti After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Local Bounti at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Local Bounti or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Local Bounti, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Local Bounti Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Local Bounti's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Local Bounti's historical news coverage. Local Bounti's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.11 and 5.98, respectively. We have considered Local Bounti's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.10
2.19
After-hype Price
5.98
Upside
Local Bounti is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Local Bounti Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Local Bounti Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Local Bounti is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Local Bounti backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Local Bounti, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.28 
3.83
  0.01 
  0.06 
9 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.10
2.19
0.45 
12,767  
Notes

Local Bounti Hype Timeline

Local Bounti Corp is now traded for 2.10. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Local is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.19. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.45%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.28%. The volatility of related hype on Local Bounti is about 1866.47%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.04. About 81.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.46. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Local Bounti Corp recorded a loss per share of 10.01. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:13 split on the 15th of June 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Local Bounti Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Local Bounti Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Local Bounti's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Local Bounti's future price movements. Getting to know how Local Bounti's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Local Bounti may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DDCDDC Enterprise Limited(0.40)10 per month 0.00 (0.13) 9.01 (17.73) 43.17 
IMGCIMG Inc 0.15 9 per month 0.00 (0.23) 12.96 (15.15) 47.57 
GROVVirgin Group Acquisition(0.1)6 per month 4.41  0.01  5.59 (6.02) 21.04 
ATPCAgape ATP(1.25)10 per month 16.33  0.02  13.95 (20.91) 189.71 
WYHGWing Yip Food(0.03)2 per month 0.00 (0.20) 8.33 (9.90) 29.15 
DTCKDavis Commodities Limited(0.40)14 per month 17.08  0.01  35.65 (22.00) 144.78 
LSFLaird Superfood 0.00 8 per month 0.00 (0.06) 10.40 (10.20) 34.55 
BRFHBarfresh Food Group(0.04)6 per month 3.91  0  7.84 (6.27) 26.25 
GNSGenius Group 0.06 10 per month 0.00 (0.14) 8.11 (7.50) 24.04 
YQ17 Education Technology(0.04)5 per month 0.00 (0.13) 7.01 (10.00) 27.82 

Local Bounti Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Local price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Local using various technical indicators. When you analyze Local charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Local Bounti Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Local Bounti stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Local Bounti Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Local Bounti based on analysis of Local Bounti hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Local Bounti's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Local Bounti's related companies.
 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.04410.0393
Price To Sales Ratio0.530.5

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When determining whether Local Bounti Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Local Bounti's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Local Bounti's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Local Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Local Bounti Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Local Bounti. Expected growth trajectory for Local significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Local Bounti assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share
(10.01)
Revenue Per Share
3.449
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.191
Return On Assets
(0.09)
Return On Equity
(24.48)
Understanding Local Bounti Corp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Local's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Local Bounti's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Local Bounti's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Local Bounti's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Local Bounti represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Local Bounti's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.