Ltc Properties Stock Price Prediction

LTC Stock  USD 38.43  0.44  1.13%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of LTC Properties' the stock price is about 68. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling LTC, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

68

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of LTC Properties' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with LTC Properties, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting LTC Properties' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.232
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.5
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.13
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.89
Wall Street Target Price
37.8333
Using LTC Properties hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LTC Properties from the perspective of LTC Properties response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in LTC Properties to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying LTC because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

LTC Properties after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 38.4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out LTC Properties Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade LTC Stock refer to our How to Trade LTC Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LTC Properties' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.5835.8842.27
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
36.3237.6238.93
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
30.9434.0037.74
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.530.530.53
Details

LTC Properties After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of LTC Properties at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LTC Properties or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of LTC Properties, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

LTC Properties Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting LTC Properties' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LTC Properties' historical news coverage. LTC Properties' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 37.10 and 39.70, respectively. We have considered LTC Properties' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
38.43
38.40
After-hype Price
39.70
Upside
LTC Properties is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LTC Properties is based on 3 months time horizon.

LTC Properties Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as LTC Properties is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LTC Properties backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LTC Properties, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.11 
1.30
  0.03 
  0.02 
10 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
38.43
38.40
0.08 
481.48  
Notes

LTC Properties Hype Timeline

On the 26th of November LTC Properties is traded for 38.43. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. LTC is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 38.4. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.11%. The volatility of related hype on LTC Properties is about 800.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.41. About 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.86. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. LTC Properties last dividend was issued on the 23rd of December 2024. The entity had 11:10 split on the 1st of October 1998. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out LTC Properties Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade LTC Stock refer to our How to Trade LTC Stock guide.

LTC Properties Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to LTC Properties' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LTC Properties' future price movements. Getting to know how LTC Properties' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LTC Properties may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MPWMedical Properties Trust 0.16 8 per month 3.17 (0.03) 5.94 (5.21) 23.92 
SBRASabra Healthcare REIT(0.18)8 per month 1.53  0.07  2.54 (2.50) 8.78 
DOCHealthpeak Properties 0.23 9 per month 0.00 (0.10) 2.36 (2.08) 6.16 
NHINational Health Investors 1.07 7 per month 1.28 (0.06) 2.38 (2.29) 6.32 
GMREGlobal Medical REIT 0.13 7 per month 0.00 (0.13) 1.78 (2.36) 6.41 
VTRVentas Inc 0.60 10 per month 1.04 (0.01) 1.99 (1.80) 5.92 
OHIOmega Healthcare Investors(0.84)10 per month 1.05 (0.03) 1.70 (1.97) 5.15 
HRHealthcare Realty Trust(0.22)9 per month 1.39 (0.08) 2.00 (2.54) 4.90 
PEAKPEAK Old(1.56)17 per month 1.41 (0.03) 2.88 (2.16) 6.74 
CTRECareTrust REIT 0.57 9 per month 1.29 (0.03) 2.06 (1.45) 7.20 
UHTUniversal Health Realty 0.41 9 per month 0.00 (0.14) 2.24 (1.93) 6.11 
WELLWelltower(2.32)10 per month 0.79  0.1  2.19 (1.65) 7.76 

LTC Properties Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine LTC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LTC using various technical indicators. When you analyze LTC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About LTC Properties Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of LTC Properties stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as LTC Properties, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of LTC Properties based on analysis of LTC Properties hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to LTC Properties's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to LTC Properties's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.06770.06460.07150.13
Price To Sales Ratio8.618.096.726.38

Story Coverage note for LTC Properties

The number of cover stories for LTC Properties depends on current market conditions and LTC Properties' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LTC Properties is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LTC Properties' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

LTC Properties Short Properties

LTC Properties' future price predictability will typically decrease when LTC Properties' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of LTC Properties often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential LTC Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LTC Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding41.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments20.3 M

Complementary Tools for LTC Stock analysis

When running LTC Properties' price analysis, check to measure LTC Properties' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LTC Properties is operating at the current time. Most of LTC Properties' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LTC Properties' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LTC Properties' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LTC Properties to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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