Lumax Auto (India) Price Prediction
| LUMAXTECH | 514.40 5.70 1.10% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
32
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.565 | Wall Street Target Price 651.5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.225 |
Using Lumax Auto hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lumax Auto Technologies from the perspective of Lumax Auto response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lumax Auto to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lumax because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lumax Auto after-hype prediction price | INR 520.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lumax |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lumax Auto's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lumax Auto After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lumax Auto at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lumax Auto or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lumax Auto, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lumax Auto Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lumax Auto's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lumax Auto's historical news coverage. Lumax Auto's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 517.82 and 522.38, respectively. We have considered Lumax Auto's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lumax Auto is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lumax Auto Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lumax Auto Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lumax Auto is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lumax Auto backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lumax Auto, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 2.28 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 2 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
514.40 | 520.10 | 0.00 |
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Lumax Auto Hype Timeline
Lumax Auto Technologies is now traded for 514.40on National Stock Exchange of India of India. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.1. Lumax is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lumax Auto is about 46.47%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 514.30. About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Lumax Auto was now reported as 122.53. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 22.78. Lumax Auto Technologies last dividend was issued on the 9th of September 2024. The entity had 5:1 split on the 7th of June 2018. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Lumax Auto Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lumax Auto Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lumax Auto's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lumax Auto's future price movements. Getting to know how Lumax Auto's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lumax Auto may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RELIANCE | Reliance Industries Limited | (40.40) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 1.67 | (2.07) | 5.53 | |
| HDFCBANK | HDFC Bank Limited | 3.05 | 4 per month | 1.02 | 0.03 | 2.25 | (2.14) | 5.51 | |
| KINGFA | Kingfa Science Technology | (3.75) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.60 | (3.65) | 9.31 | |
| RICOAUTO | Rico Auto Industries | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 3.21 | (4.52) | 11.81 | |
| GATECHDVR | GACM Technologies Limited | (0.09) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.39) | 4.04 | (5.56) | 12.29 | |
| TBZ | Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri | (3.80) | 3 per month | 3.48 | 0.05 | 10.00 | (5.61) | 27.64 | |
| PARAGMILK | Parag Milk Foods | 13.63 | 4 per month | 2.46 | 0 | 5.30 | (4.75) | 12.83 | |
| HEUBACHIND | Heubach Colorants India | 1.10 | 2 per month | 3.20 | (0.02) | 6.95 | (3.00) | 28.86 | |
| CHEMCON | Chemcon Speciality Chemicals | (2.00) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 2.76 | (3.49) | 10.08 | |
| ARVIND | Arvind Limited | (16.80) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.58 | (3.29) | 23.01 |
Lumax Auto Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lumax price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lumax using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lumax charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Lumax Auto Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lumax Auto stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lumax Auto Technologies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lumax Auto based on analysis of Lumax Auto hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lumax Auto's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lumax Auto's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Lumax Auto
The number of cover stories for Lumax Auto depends on current market conditions and Lumax Auto's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lumax Auto is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lumax Auto's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lumax Auto Short Properties
Lumax Auto's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lumax Auto's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lumax Auto Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lumax Auto's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lumax Auto's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 68.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.2 B |
Complementary Tools for Lumax Stock analysis
When running Lumax Auto's price analysis, check to measure Lumax Auto's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lumax Auto is operating at the current time. Most of Lumax Auto's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lumax Auto's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lumax Auto's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lumax Auto to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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