Luxfer Holdings Plc Stock Price Patterns
| LXFR Stock | USD 15.62 0.04 0.26% |
Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.79) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.25 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.07 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.18 | Wall Street Target Price 17 |
Using Luxfer Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Luxfer Holdings PLC from the perspective of Luxfer Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Luxfer Holdings using Luxfer Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Luxfer using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Luxfer Holdings' stock price.
Luxfer Holdings Short Interest
An investor who is long Luxfer Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Luxfer Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge Luxfer Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 12.9194 | Short Percent 0.0135 | Short Ratio 2.48 | Shares Short Prior Month 282.8 K | 50 Day MA 14.321 |
Luxfer Holdings PLC Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Luxfer Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Luxfer. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Luxfer can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Luxfer Holdings PLC. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Luxfer Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Luxfer Holdings.
Luxfer Holdings Implied Volatility | 1.69 |
Luxfer Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Luxfer Holdings PLC stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Luxfer Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Luxfer Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Luxfer Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Luxfer Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Luxfer because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Luxfer Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 15.83 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Luxfer contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Luxfer Holdings PLC will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.11% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Luxfer Holdings trading at USD 15.62, that is roughly USD 0.0165 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Luxfer Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Luxfer Holdings PLC options at the current volatility level of 1.69%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Luxfer Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Luxfer Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Luxfer Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Luxfer Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Luxfer Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Luxfer Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Luxfer Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Luxfer Holdings' historical news coverage. Luxfer Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.34 and 17.32, respectively. We have considered Luxfer Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Luxfer Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Luxfer Holdings PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Luxfer Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Luxfer Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Luxfer Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Luxfer Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.49 | 1.48 | 0.10 | 0.15 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
15.62 | 15.83 | 0.89 |
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Luxfer Holdings Hype Timeline
Luxfer Holdings PLC is now traded for 15.62. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.15. Luxfer is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 15.83 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.89%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.49%. The volatility of related hype on Luxfer Holdings is about 486.84%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.77. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 391.9 M. Net Income was 18.3 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 90 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Luxfer Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Luxfer Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Luxfer Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Luxfer Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Luxfer Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Luxfer Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PKOH | Park Ohio Holdings | (0.30) | 8 per month | 1.83 | 0.20 | 5.26 | (3.57) | 10.51 | |
| OFLX | Omega Flex | 1.51 | 4 per month | 1.96 | 0.17 | 4.53 | (3.44) | 13.45 | |
| NPWR | NET Power | (0.04) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 7.00 | (7.14) | 18.48 | |
| PANL | Pangaea Logistic | 0.16 | 11 per month | 2.01 | 0.14 | 3.77 | (4.04) | 22.60 | |
| EVI | EVI Industries | 0.59 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.74 | (6.31) | 16.72 | |
| KNOP | KNOT Offshore Partners | 0.07 | 10 per month | 1.31 | 0.01 | 4.00 | (2.13) | 8.88 | |
| BW | Babcock Wilcox Enterprises | 0.45 | 8 per month | 5.80 | 0.10 | 10.72 | (8.36) | 45.75 | |
| SBC | SBC Communications | 0.01 | 9 per month | 2.28 | 0.14 | 6.78 | (3.77) | 17.06 | |
| WNC | Wabash National | 0.55 | 7 per month | 2.02 | 0.20 | 6.11 | (3.78) | 16.28 | |
| ACCO | Acco Brands | 0.04 | 7 per month | 1.22 | 0.14 | 3.25 | (2.48) | 7.18 |
Luxfer Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Luxfer price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Luxfer using various technical indicators. When you analyze Luxfer charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Luxfer Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Luxfer Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Luxfer Holdings PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Luxfer Holdings based on analysis of Luxfer Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Luxfer Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Luxfer Holdings's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0582 | 0.0399 | 0.0359 | 0.0281 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.59 | 0.9 | 0.81 | 0.62 |
Pair Trading with Luxfer Holdings
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Luxfer Holdings position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Luxfer Holdings will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Luxfer Stock
| 0.78 | 0ACC | Accelleron Industries | PairCorr |
| 0.86 | FUCA | FANUC PUNSPADR 110 | PairCorr |
| 0.67 | CR | Crane Company | PairCorr |
Moving against Luxfer Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Luxfer Holdings could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Luxfer Holdings when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Luxfer Holdings - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Luxfer Holdings PLC to buy it.
The correlation of Luxfer Holdings is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Luxfer Holdings moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Luxfer Holdings PLC moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Luxfer Holdings can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Luxfer Stock Analysis
When running Luxfer Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Luxfer Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Luxfer Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Luxfer Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Luxfer Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Luxfer Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Luxfer Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.