Marathon Digital Holdings Stock Price Patterns
| MARA Stock | USD 9.05 0.07 0.77% |
Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.867 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.42 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.525 | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.27) | Wall Street Target Price 20.6591 |
Using Marathon Digital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Marathon Digital Holdings from the perspective of Marathon Digital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Marathon Digital using Marathon Digital's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Marathon using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Marathon Digital's stock price.
Marathon Digital Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Marathon Digital's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Marathon. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Marathon Digital stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 15.0051 | Short Percent 0.3575 | Short Ratio 2.77 | Shares Short Prior Month 103.8 M | 50 Day MA 10.6998 |
Marathon Digital Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Marathon Digital's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Marathon. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Marathon can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Marathon Digital Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Marathon Digital's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Marathon Digital.
Marathon Digital Implied Volatility | 1.17 |
Marathon Digital's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Marathon Digital Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Marathon Digital's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Marathon Digital stock will not fluctuate a lot when Marathon Digital's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Marathon Digital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Marathon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Marathon Digital after-hype prediction price | USD 9.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Marathon contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Marathon Digital Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0731% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Marathon Digital trading at USD 9.05, that is roughly USD 0.006618 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Marathon Digital's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Marathon Digital Holdings options at the current volatility level of 1.17%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Marathon Digital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Marathon Digital After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Marathon Digital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Marathon Digital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Marathon Digital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Marathon Digital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Marathon Digital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Marathon Digital's historical news coverage. Marathon Digital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.50 and 13.60, respectively. We have considered Marathon Digital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Marathon Digital is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Marathon Digital Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Marathon Digital Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Marathon Digital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Marathon Digital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Marathon Digital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.84 | 4.52 | 3.74 | 0.78 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
9.05 | 9.05 | 0.00 |
|
Marathon Digital Hype Timeline
Marathon Digital Holdings is now traded for 9.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 3.74, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.78. Marathon is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 101.57%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.84%. %. The volatility of related hype on Marathon Digital is about 489.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.83. About 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.72. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Marathon Digital Holdings last dividend was issued on the 8th of April 2019. The entity had 1:4 split on the 8th of April 2019. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Marathon Digital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Marathon Digital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Marathon Digital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Marathon Digital's future price movements. Getting to know how Marathon Digital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Marathon Digital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OBDC | Blue Owl Capital | 0.06 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.93 | (1.92) | 7.19 | |
| WULF | Terawulf | 2.85 | 18 per month | 5.77 | 0.02 | 10.37 | (9.48) | 24.71 | |
| PFSI | PennyMac Finl Svcs | (2.53) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.26 | (1.78) | 39.66 | |
| PNFP | Pinnacle Financial Partners | (1.01) | 7 per month | 1.46 | 0.12 | 3.19 | (2.01) | 8.67 | |
| MKTX | MarketAxess Holdings | 0.37 | 11 per month | 1.63 | (0.01) | 2.52 | (2.92) | 9.15 | |
| VIRT | Virtu Financial | 0.69 | 9 per month | 1.70 | 0.07 | 2.81 | (2.32) | 13.20 | |
| OTF | Blue Owl Technology | 0.05 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.48 | (2.85) | 7.65 | |
| BMNR | Bitmine Immersion Technologies | 0.50 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 10.27 | (10.47) | 32.25 | |
| BOKF | BOK Financial | 4.45 | 10 per month | 0.77 | 0.21 | 3.17 | (1.22) | 7.41 | |
| PIPR | Piper Sandler Companies | 3.80 | 10 per month | 1.95 | 0 | 3.02 | (3.13) | 9.28 |
Marathon Digital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Marathon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Marathon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Marathon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Marathon Digital Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Marathon Digital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Marathon Digital Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Marathon Digital based on analysis of Marathon Digital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Marathon Digital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Marathon Digital's related companies. | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 58.47 | 61.4 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 11.55 | 9.22 |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Complementary Tools for Marathon Stock analysis
When running Marathon Digital's price analysis, check to measure Marathon Digital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Marathon Digital is operating at the current time. Most of Marathon Digital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Marathon Digital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Marathon Digital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Marathon Digital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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