Marathon Digital Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| MARA Stock | USD 24.18 1.55 6.85% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
58
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.764 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.04) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.26 | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.07) | Wall Street Target Price 23.1 |
Using Marathon Digital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Marathon Digital Holdings from the perspective of Marathon Digital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Marathon Digital Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Marathon Digital's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Marathon. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Marathon can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Marathon Digital Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Marathon Digital's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Marathon Digital.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Marathon Digital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Marathon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Marathon Digital after-hype prediction price | USD 24.18 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Marathon |
Marathon Digital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Marathon Digital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Marathon Digital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Marathon Digital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Marathon Digital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Marathon Digital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Marathon Digital's historical news coverage. Marathon Digital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.25 and 31.11, respectively. We have considered Marathon Digital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Marathon Digital is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Marathon Digital Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Marathon Digital Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Marathon Digital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Marathon Digital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Marathon Digital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.64 | 6.93 | 1.67 | 0.23 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
24.18 | 24.18 | 0.00 |
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Marathon Digital Hype Timeline
Marathon Digital Holdings is now traded for 24.18. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.67, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.23. Marathon is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.64%. %. The volatility of related hype on Marathon Digital is about 1963.97%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.41. About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Marathon Digital was now reported as 9.37. The company last dividend was issued on the 8th of April 2019. Marathon Digital Holdings had 1:4 split on the 8th of April 2019. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Marathon Digital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Marathon Digital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Marathon Digital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Marathon Digital's future price movements. Getting to know how Marathon Digital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Marathon Digital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HUT | Hut 8 Corp | 0.06 | 11 per month | 4.55 | 0.17 | 11.05 | (6.95) | 32.14 | |
| CLSK | CleanSpark | 2.61 | 10 per month | 5.50 | 0.03 | 10.74 | (7.82) | 44.80 | |
| BTBT | Bit Digital | (0.10) | 11 per month | 5.52 | 0.03 | 10.98 | (8.01) | 42.28 | |
| BITF | Bitfarms | 0.11 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 10.16 | (7.05) | 33.47 | |
| HIVE | HIVE Blockchain Technologies | (0.07) | 10 per month | 4.86 | 0.06 | 12.90 | (7.71) | 29.04 | |
| RIOT | Riot Blockchain | (0.22) | 12 per month | 4.60 | 0.1 | 8.66 | (6.31) | 38.48 | |
| WULF | Terawulf | 0.08 | 9 per month | 5.36 | 0.11 | 9.85 | (8.41) | 37.34 |
Marathon Digital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Marathon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Marathon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Marathon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Marathon Digital Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Marathon Digital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Marathon Digital Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Marathon Digital based on analysis of Marathon Digital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Marathon Digital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Marathon Digital's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0117 | 0.0104 | Price To Sales Ratio | 11.14 | 10.59 |
Story Coverage note for Marathon Digital
The number of cover stories for Marathon Digital depends on current market conditions and Marathon Digital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Marathon Digital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Marathon Digital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Marathon Digital Short Properties
Marathon Digital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Marathon Digital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Marathon Digital Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Marathon Digital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Marathon Digital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 192.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 357.3 M |
Complementary Tools for Marathon Stock analysis
When running Marathon Digital's price analysis, check to measure Marathon Digital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Marathon Digital is operating at the current time. Most of Marathon Digital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Marathon Digital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Marathon Digital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Marathon Digital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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