Matson Inc Stock Price Patterns
| MATX Stock | USD 162.94 3.13 1.96% |
Momentum 83
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.28) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.2433 | EPS Estimate Current Year 13.005 | EPS Estimate Next Year 12.005 | Wall Street Target Price 190 |
Using Matson hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Matson Inc from the perspective of Matson response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Matson using Matson's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Matson using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Matson's stock price.
Matson Short Interest
An investor who is long Matson may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Matson and may potentially protect profits, hedge Matson with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 112.9437 | Short Percent 0.0588 | Short Ratio 3.69 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.6 M | 50 Day MA 133.4882 |
Matson Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Matson's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Matson. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Matson can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Matson Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Matson's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Matson.
Matson Implied Volatility | 0.72 |
Matson's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Matson Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Matson's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Matson stock will not fluctuate a lot when Matson's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Matson to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Matson because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Matson after-hype prediction price | USD 166.03 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Matson contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Matson Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.045% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Matson trading at USD 162.94, that is roughly USD 0.0733 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Matson's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Matson Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.72%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Matson Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Matson's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Matson After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Matson at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Matson or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Matson, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Matson Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Matson's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Matson's historical news coverage. Matson's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 146.65 and 168.25, respectively. We have considered Matson's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Matson is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Matson Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Matson Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Matson is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Matson backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Matson, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.70 | 2.23 | 3.19 | 0.23 | 10 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
162.94 | 166.03 | 1.90 |
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Matson Hype Timeline
Matson Inc is now traded for 162.94. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 3.19, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.23. Matson is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 166.03 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 49.01%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 1.9%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.7%. The volatility of related hype on Matson is about 673.49%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 162.71. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.42 B. Net Income was 476.4 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 787.8 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Matson Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Matson Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Matson's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Matson's future price movements. Getting to know how Matson's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Matson may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HAFN | Hafnia Limited | 0.05 | 6 per month | 1.74 | (0.03) | 2.73 | (2.68) | 8.51 | |
| SEB | Seaboard | (4.68) | 9 per month | 1.26 | 0.29 | 3.16 | (3.13) | 7.90 | |
| SB | Safe Bulkers | (0.09) | 9 per month | 1.25 | 0.11 | 3.34 | (1.80) | 13.72 | |
| AZZ | AZZ Incorporated | (0.18) | 11 per month | 0.95 | 0.18 | 3.40 | (1.99) | 8.55 | |
| PLUG | Plug Power | (0.04) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 9.90 | (9.27) | 26.07 | |
| KFY | Korn Ferry | 0.87 | 12 per month | 1.26 | 0.01 | 2.91 | (2.19) | 7.87 | |
| BWLP | BW LPG Limited | 0.17 | 6 per month | 1.58 | 0.14 | 4.02 | (2.78) | 7.74 | |
| CMBT | CMBTECH NV | (0.32) | 10 per month | 1.77 | 0.15 | 4.58 | (3.12) | 13.21 | |
| KAI | Kadant Inc | 1.24 | 9 per month | 1.28 | 0.13 | 3.89 | (2.77) | 10.20 |
Matson Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Matson price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Matson using various technical indicators. When you analyze Matson charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Matson Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Matson stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Matson Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Matson based on analysis of Matson hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Matson's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Matson's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0116 | 0.009859 | 0.0113 | 0.0108 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.25 | 1.33 | 1.53 | 0.83 |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Matson Stock Analysis
When running Matson's price analysis, check to measure Matson's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Matson is operating at the current time. Most of Matson's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Matson's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Matson's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Matson to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.