Matthews China Active Etf Price Patterns
| MCH Etf | USD 28.52 0.32 1.11% |
Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Matthews China hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Matthews China Active from the perspective of Matthews China response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Matthews China using Matthews China's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Matthews using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Matthews China's stock price.
Matthews China Implied Volatility | 0.39 |
Matthews China's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Matthews China Active stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Matthews China's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Matthews China stock will not fluctuate a lot when Matthews China's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Matthews China to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Matthews because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Matthews China after-hype prediction price | USD 28.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Matthews contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Matthews China Active will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0244% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Matthews China trading at USD 28.52, that is roughly USD 0.006952 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Matthews China's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Matthews China Active options at the current volatility level of 0.39%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Matthews | Build AI portfolio with Matthews Etf |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Matthews China's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Matthews China After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Matthews China at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Matthews China or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Matthews China, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Matthews China Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Matthews China's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Matthews China's historical news coverage. Matthews China's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.80 and 29.88, respectively. We have considered Matthews China's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Matthews China is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Matthews China Active is based on 3 months time horizon.
Matthews China Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Matthews China is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Matthews China backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Matthews China, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
28.52 | 28.84 | 0.00 |
|
Matthews China Hype Timeline
On the 5th of February Matthews China Active is traded for 28.52. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Matthews is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Matthews China is about 13000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.52. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Matthews China Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Matthews China Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Matthews China's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Matthews China's future price movements. Getting to know how Matthews China's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Matthews China may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FTDS | First Trust Dividend | 0.07 | 2 per month | 0.40 | 0.19 | 2.05 | (1.25) | 3.67 | |
| RFLR | Innovator ETFs Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.58 | 0.05 | 1.24 | (1.18) | 3.42 | |
| JPSV | Jpmorgan Active Small | 0.01 | 3 per month | 0.64 | 0.11 | 2.07 | (1.30) | 5.24 | |
| EAOR | iShares ESG Aware | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.40 | 0 | 0.74 | (0.79) | 2.17 | |
| RAYC | Rayliant Asset Management | (0.04) | 2 per month | 0.88 | 0.06 | 1.81 | (1.18) | 7.60 | |
| HDG | ProShares Hedge Replication | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.25 | (0.03) | 0.48 | (0.53) | 1.25 | |
| KHYB | KraneShares Asia Pacific | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 0.25 | (0.16) | 0.62 | |
| SQLV | Royce Quant Small Cap | (0.12) | 2 per month | 0.66 | 0.09 | 2.27 | (1.33) | 5.04 | |
| COWS | Amplify Cash Flow | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.77 | 0.07 | 1.73 | (1.41) | 4.15 | |
| SHUS | Exchange Listed Funds | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.45 | 0.09 | 1.27 | (1.03) | 2.86 |
Matthews China Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Matthews price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Matthews using various technical indicators. When you analyze Matthews charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Matthews China Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Matthews China stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Matthews China Active, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Matthews China based on analysis of Matthews China hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Matthews China's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Matthews China's related companies.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
| FSLY | Fastly Class A | |
| MOB | Mobilicom Limited American | |
| CMG | Chipotle Mexican Grill | |
| CSAN | Cosan SA ADR | |
| RKT | Rocket Companies |
Check out Matthews China Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Understanding Matthews China Active requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Matthews's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Matthews China's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Matthews China's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Matthews China's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Matthews China represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Matthews China's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.