Manulife Financial Corp Stock Price Patterns

MFC Stock  USD 38.11  0.44  1.14%   
The relative strength indicator of Manulife Financial's stock price is about 64. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Manulife, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 64

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Manulife Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Manulife Financial Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Manulife Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.02
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.0271
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.1481
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.5402
Wall Street Target Price
32.8523
Using Manulife Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Manulife Financial Corp from the perspective of Manulife Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Manulife Financial using Manulife Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Manulife using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Manulife Financial's stock price.

Manulife Financial Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Manulife Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Manulife. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Manulife Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
32.5032
Short Percent
0.0052
Short Ratio
3.4
Shares Short Prior Month
5.6 M
50 Day MA
36.0716

Manulife Financial Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Manulife Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Manulife. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Manulife can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Manulife Financial Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Manulife Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Manulife Financial.

Manulife Financial Implied Volatility

    
  0.42  
Manulife Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Manulife Financial Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Manulife Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Manulife Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Manulife Financial's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Manulife Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Manulife because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Manulife Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 38.34  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Manulife contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Manulife Financial Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0263% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Manulife Financial trading at USD 38.11, that is roughly USD 0.01 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Manulife Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Manulife Financial Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.42%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Manulife Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.1538.1939.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
37.5038.5439.58
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
29.9032.8536.47
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.010.741.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Manulife Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Manulife Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Manulife Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Manulife Financial Corp.

Manulife Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Manulife Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Manulife Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Manulife Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Manulife Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Manulife Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Manulife Financial's historical news coverage. Manulife Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 37.30 and 39.38, respectively. We have considered Manulife Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
38.11
38.34
After-hype Price
39.38
Upside
Manulife Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Manulife Financial Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Manulife Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Manulife Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Manulife Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Manulife Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.26 
1.04
  0.23 
  0.17 
30 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 30 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
38.11
38.34
0.60 
119.54  
Notes

Manulife Financial Hype Timeline

On the 31st of January Manulife Financial Corp is traded for 38.11. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.23, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.17. Manulife is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 38.34 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 119.54%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.6%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.26%. The volatility of related hype on Manulife Financial is about 156.16%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.28. Total Income to common stockholders was 5.88 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 15.78 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 30 days.
Check out Manulife Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Manulife Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Manulife Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Manulife Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Manulife Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Manulife Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BNSBank of Nova(0.46)8 per month 0.71  0.22  1.65 (1.29) 6.23 
CMCanadian Imperial Bank 0.59 11 per month 0.89  0.15  1.52 (1.62) 6.42 
LNCLincoln National 0.13 13 per month 1.74  0.02  2.74 (3.34) 8.21 
METMetLife 2.00 9 per month 1.33 (0.03) 2.57 (1.58) 7.07 
PRUPrudential Financial 0.32 13 per month 1.17  0.06  2.02 (1.43) 7.14 
PUKPrudential PLC ADR(0.04)21 per month 0.79  0.21  1.93 (1.64) 5.33 
RYRoyal Bank of 0.80 7 per month 0.53  0.19  1.46 (1.34) 4.03 
SLFSun Life Financial(0.04)10 per month 1.15  0.02  1.51 (1.76) 5.63 
TDToronto Dominion Bank 1.79 12 per month 0.59  0.20  1.66 (1.54) 5.15 
UNMUnum Group 1.57 10 per month 0.98 (0.03) 1.99 (1.82) 10.27 

Manulife Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Manulife price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Manulife using various technical indicators. When you analyze Manulife charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Manulife Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Manulife Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Manulife Financial Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Manulife Financial based on analysis of Manulife Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Manulife Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Manulife Financial's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.05530.04020.03620.0253
Price To Sales Ratio1.271.721.981.25

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Complementary Tools for Manulife Stock analysis

When running Manulife Financial's price analysis, check to measure Manulife Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Manulife Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Manulife Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Manulife Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Manulife Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Manulife Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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