Mi Homes Stock Price Patterns
| MHO Stock | USD 136.37 4.01 3.03% |
Momentum 59
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.49) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 4.49 | EPS Estimate Current Year 14 | EPS Estimate Next Year 16.31 | Wall Street Target Price 157 |
Using MI Homes hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MI Homes from the perspective of MI Homes response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards MI Homes using MI Homes' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards MHO using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of MI Homes' stock price.
MI Homes Short Interest
An investor who is long MI Homes may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about MI Homes and may potentially protect profits, hedge MI Homes with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 126.892 | Short Percent 0.0614 | Short Ratio 5.46 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.2 M | 50 Day MA 132.2854 |
MI Homes Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to MI Homes' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in MHO. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding MHO can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around MI Homes. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of MI Homes' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about MI Homes.
MI Homes Implied Volatility | 0.45 |
MI Homes' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of MI Homes stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if MI Homes' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that MI Homes stock will not fluctuate a lot when MI Homes' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in MI Homes to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying MHO because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
MI Homes after-hype prediction price | USD 136.37 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current MHO contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that MI Homes will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0281% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With MI Homes trading at USD 136.37, that is roughly USD 0.0384 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating MI Homes' daily price movement you should consider acquiring MI Homes options at the current volatility level of 0.45%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out MI Homes Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. MI Homes After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MI Homes at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MI Homes or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MI Homes, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MI Homes Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MI Homes' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MI Homes' historical news coverage. MI Homes' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 134.29 and 138.45, respectively. We have considered MI Homes' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MI Homes is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MI Homes is based on 3 months time horizon.
MI Homes Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MI Homes is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MI Homes backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MI Homes, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 2.10 | 0.54 | 0.15 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
136.37 | 136.37 | 0.00 |
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MI Homes Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January MI Homes is traded for 136.37. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.54, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.15. MHO is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 58.01%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on MI Homes is about 215.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 136.52. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.09. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. MI Homes has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.78. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 14.74. The firm last dividend was issued on the 27th of June 2008. MI Homes had 2:1 split on the 20th of June 2002. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out MI Homes Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.MI Homes Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MI Homes' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MI Homes' future price movements. Getting to know how MI Homes' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MI Homes may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GRBK | Green Brick Partners | 0.56 | 21 per month | 1.56 | 0 | 4.56 | (3.08) | 10.63 | |
| TPH | TRI Pointe Homes | (0.27) | 10 per month | 1.57 | (0.01) | 5.16 | (2.65) | 11.56 | |
| SKY | Skyline | (1.08) | 10 per month | 2.31 | 0.04 | 4.86 | (3.90) | 14.88 | |
| KBH | KB Home | 1.08 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.30 | (2.48) | 15.09 | |
| MTH | Meritage | 4.16 | 11 per month | 1.93 | (0.02) | 3.46 | (2.97) | 13.79 | |
| ANF | Abercrombie Fitch | 0.33 | 20 per month | 3.48 | 0.09 | 5.90 | (3.84) | 55.23 | |
| HOG | Harley Davidson | 0.71 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 2.41 | (3.40) | 8.88 | |
| ASO | Academy Sports Outdoors | 3.79 | 7 per month | 2.17 | 0.07 | 4.95 | (3.51) | 12.70 | |
| DFH | Dream Finders Homes | (0.44) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.95 | (3.60) | 14.94 | |
| CVCO | Cavco Industries | 0.91 | 20 per month | 2.56 | 0.01 | 4.83 | (3.02) | 9.67 |
MI Homes Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MHO price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MHO using various technical indicators. When you analyze MHO charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About MI Homes Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of MI Homes stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as MI Homes, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of MI Homes based on analysis of MI Homes hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to MI Homes's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to MI Homes's related companies. | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.004743 | 0.004506 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.77 | 0.81 |
Pair Trading with MI Homes
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if MI Homes position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in MI Homes will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with MHO Stock
Moving against MHO Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to MI Homes could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace MI Homes when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back MI Homes - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling MI Homes to buy it.
The correlation of MI Homes is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as MI Homes moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if MI Homes moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for MI Homes can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out MI Homes Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in MHO Stock, please use our How to Invest in MI Homes guide.You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Will Household Durables sector continue expanding? Could MHO diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MI Homes. Expected growth trajectory for MHO significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every MI Homes data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.49) | Earnings Share 14.74 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) | Return On Assets |
The market value of MI Homes is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MHO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MI Homes' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MI Homes' true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because MI Homes' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MI Homes' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that MI Homes' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether MI Homes represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, MI Homes' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.