Markel (Brazil) Price Prediction
| MKLC34 Stock | BRL 530.82 33.18 5.88% |
Momentum 82
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Markel hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Markel from the perspective of Markel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Markel to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Markel because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Markel after-hype prediction price | BRL 530.82 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Markel |
Markel After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Markel at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Markel or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Markel, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Markel Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Markel's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Markel's historical news coverage. Markel's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 529.16 and 532.48, respectively. We have considered Markel's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Markel is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Markel is based on 3 months time horizon.
Markel Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Markel is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Markel backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Markel, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 1.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
530.82 | 530.82 | 0.00 |
|
Markel Hype Timeline
Markel is now traded for 530.82on Sao Paulo Exchange of Brazil. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Markel is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Markel is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 530.82. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.48. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Markel has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.89. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next expected press release will be uncertain. Check out Markel Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Markel Stock refer to our How to Trade Markel Stock guide.Markel Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Markel's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Markel's future price movements. Getting to know how Markel's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Markel may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FMSC34 | Fresenius Medical Care | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 0.00 | (0.81) | 5.85 | |
| G2DI33 | G2D Investments | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.18 | (0.02) | 4.29 | (3.85) | 11.55 | |
| E1MN34 | Eastman Chemical | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 2.79 | (0.61) | 24.48 | |
| M2PW34 | Medical Properties Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.88 | (3.13) | 15.78 | |
| TSNF34 | Tyson Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.67 | 0.02 | 1.36 | (1.68) | 10.59 | |
| H1RL34 | Hormel Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.25 | (2.06) | 11.72 |
Markel Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Markel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Markel using various technical indicators. When you analyze Markel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Markel Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Markel stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Markel, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Markel based on analysis of Markel hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Markel's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Markel's related companies.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| HITI | High Tide | |
| HITI | High Tide | |
| BAC | Bank of America |
Complementary Tools for Markel Stock analysis
When running Markel's price analysis, check to measure Markel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Markel is operating at the current time. Most of Markel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Markel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Markel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Markel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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