Mayr Melnhof (Austria) Price Prediction

MMK Stock  EUR 70.10  1.90  2.64%   
The value of RSI of Mayr Melnhof's share price is below 30 as of 28th of November 2024. This indicates that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Mayr Melnhof Karton AG, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

29

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Mayr Melnhof's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Mayr Melnhof Karton AG, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Mayr Melnhof hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mayr Melnhof Karton AG from the perspective of Mayr Melnhof response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Mayr Melnhof to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Mayr because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Mayr Melnhof after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 70.1  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Mayr Melnhof Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
62.1363.9977.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
68.6470.5072.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
68.5872.8477.10
Details

Mayr Melnhof After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Mayr Melnhof at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mayr Melnhof or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Mayr Melnhof, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Mayr Melnhof Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Mayr Melnhof's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mayr Melnhof's historical news coverage. Mayr Melnhof's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 68.24 and 71.96, respectively. We have considered Mayr Melnhof's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
70.10
70.10
After-hype Price
71.96
Upside
Mayr Melnhof is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mayr Melnhof Karton is based on 3 months time horizon.

Mayr Melnhof Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mayr Melnhof is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mayr Melnhof backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mayr Melnhof, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.49 
1.85
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
70.10
70.10
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Mayr Melnhof Hype Timeline

Mayr Melnhof Karton is now traded for 70.10on Vienna Exchange of Austria. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Mayr is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.49%. %. The volatility of related hype on Mayr Melnhof is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 70.10. About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.65. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Mayr Melnhof Karton recorded earning per share (EPS) of 18.76. The entity last dividend was issued on the 3rd of May 2022. The firm had 2:1 split on the 16th of July 2007. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Mayr Melnhof Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Mayr Melnhof Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Mayr Melnhof's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mayr Melnhof's future price movements. Getting to know how Mayr Melnhof's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mayr Melnhof may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Mayr Melnhof Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Mayr price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mayr using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mayr charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Mayr Melnhof Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Mayr Melnhof stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Mayr Melnhof Karton AG, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mayr Melnhof based on analysis of Mayr Melnhof hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Mayr Melnhof's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Mayr Melnhof's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Mayr Melnhof

The number of cover stories for Mayr Melnhof depends on current market conditions and Mayr Melnhof's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mayr Melnhof is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mayr Melnhof's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Mayr Melnhof Short Properties

Mayr Melnhof's future price predictability will typically decrease when Mayr Melnhof's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mayr Melnhof Karton AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Mayr Melnhof's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mayr Melnhof's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding20 M

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