Modine Manufacturing Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 80.98 85.05 154.54 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 134.76 138.83 142.90 Details

6 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 46.64 51.25 56.89 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 0.74 0.79 0.84 Details

Modine Manufacturing After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Modine Manufacturing Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Modine Manufacturing Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.38	4.09	0.74	0.17	12 Events / Month	10 Events / Month	In about 12 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
140.49	141.14	0.46	208.67   Notes

Modine Manufacturing Hype Timeline

On the 22nd of November Modine Manufacturing is traded for 140.49. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.74, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.17. Modine is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 141.14 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.46%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.38%. The volatility of related hype on Modine Manufacturing is about 921.49%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 140.32. The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.41 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 161.5 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 309.3 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Modine Manufacturing Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Modine Stock refer to our How to Trade Modine Stock guide.

Modine Manufacturing Related Hype Analysis

Modine Manufacturing Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Modine price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Modine using various technical indicators. When you analyze Modine charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Modine Manufacturing stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Modine Manufacturing, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Modine Manufacturing based on analysis of Modine Manufacturing hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Modine Manufacturing depends on current market conditions and Modine Manufacturing's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Modine Manufacturing is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Modine Manufacturing's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Modine Manufacturing's future price predictability will typically decrease when Modine Manufacturing's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Modine Manufacturing often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Modine Manufacturing's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Modine Manufacturing's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running Modine Manufacturing's price analysis, check to measure Modine Manufacturing's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Modine Manufacturing is operating at the current time. Most of Modine Manufacturing's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Modine Manufacturing's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Modine Manufacturing's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Modine Manufacturing to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.