Modine Manufacturing Stock Price Prediction
| MOD Stock | USD 142.08 8.57 6.42% |
Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.124 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.6743 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.3515 | Wall Street Target Price 183 |
Using Modine Manufacturing hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Modine Manufacturing from the perspective of Modine Manufacturing response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Modine Manufacturing using Modine Manufacturing's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Modine using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Modine Manufacturing's stock price.
Modine Manufacturing Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Modine Manufacturing's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Modine. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Modine Manufacturing stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 120.3248 | Short Percent 0.1062 | Short Ratio 4.1 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.3 M | 50 Day MA 147.9982 |
Modine Manufacturing Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Modine Manufacturing's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Modine. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Modine can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Modine Manufacturing. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Modine Manufacturing's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Modine Manufacturing.
Modine Manufacturing Implied Volatility | 0.71 |
Modine Manufacturing's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Modine Manufacturing stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Modine Manufacturing's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Modine Manufacturing stock will not fluctuate a lot when Modine Manufacturing's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Modine Manufacturing to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Modine because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Modine Manufacturing after-hype prediction price | USD 130.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Modine contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Modine Manufacturing will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0444% per day over the life of the 2026-02-20 option contract. With Modine Manufacturing trading at USD 142.08, that is roughly USD 0.063 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Modine Manufacturing's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Modine Manufacturing options at the current volatility level of 0.71%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Modine Manufacturing Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Modine Manufacturing After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Modine Manufacturing at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Modine Manufacturing or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Modine Manufacturing, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Modine Manufacturing Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Modine Manufacturing's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Modine Manufacturing's historical news coverage. Modine Manufacturing's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 126.09 and 134.25, respectively. We have considered Modine Manufacturing's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Modine Manufacturing is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Modine Manufacturing is based on 3 months time horizon.
Modine Manufacturing Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Modine Manufacturing is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Modine Manufacturing backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Modine Manufacturing, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 4.08 | 3.34 | 0.16 | 11 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
142.08 | 130.17 | 2.50 |
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Modine Manufacturing Hype Timeline
On the 2nd of January Modine Manufacturing is traded for 142.08. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -3.34, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.16. Modine is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 130.17. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 17.11%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -2.5%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Modine Manufacturing is about 356.02%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 142.24. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.63. Modine Manufacturing last dividend was issued on the 19th of November 2008. The entity had 2:1 split on the 22nd of February 1993. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Modine Manufacturing Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Modine Manufacturing Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Modine Manufacturing's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Modine Manufacturing's future price movements. Getting to know how Modine Manufacturing's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Modine Manufacturing may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LKQ | LKQ Corporation | 1.67 | 8 per month | 1.86 | (0.02) | 2.78 | (2.55) | 9.17 | |
| BWA | BorgWarner | 1.52 | 10 per month | 1.87 | 0 | 3.07 | (3.05) | 8.11 | |
| ALV | Autoliv | (1.47) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.98 | (3.01) | 5.94 | |
| LAD | Lithia Motors | 6.69 | 10 per month | 1.66 | 0.01 | 4.18 | (2.97) | 9.56 | |
| ALSN | Allison Transmission Holdings | 2.40 | 10 per month | 1.11 | 0.12 | 2.74 | (2.00) | 5.80 | |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness | (0.96) | 11 per month | 1.44 | 0.01 | 3.01 | (2.65) | 16.06 | |
| AN | AutoNation | 1.39 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.06 | (2.56) | 8.76 | |
| LEVI | Levi Strauss Co | (0.26) | 14 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.64 | (3.46) | 17.30 | |
| VFS | VinFast Auto Ltd | 0.16 | 8 per month | 2.37 | 0 | 3.35 | (3.83) | 15.20 | |
| QS | QuantumScape Class | 0.32 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 14.73 | (8.22) | 31.81 |
Modine Manufacturing Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Modine price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Modine using various technical indicators. When you analyze Modine charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Modine Manufacturing Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Modine Manufacturing stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Modine Manufacturing, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Modine Manufacturing based on analysis of Modine Manufacturing hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Modine Manufacturing's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Modine Manufacturing's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 64.11 | 67.66 | 60.89 | 45.03 | PTB Ratio | 6.58 | 4.44 | 3.99 | 4.19 |
Story Coverage note for Modine Manufacturing
The number of cover stories for Modine Manufacturing depends on current market conditions and Modine Manufacturing's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Modine Manufacturing is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Modine Manufacturing's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Modine Manufacturing Short Properties
Modine Manufacturing's future price predictability will typically decrease when Modine Manufacturing's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Modine Manufacturing often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Modine Manufacturing's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Modine Manufacturing's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 53.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 71.6 M |
Complementary Tools for Modine Stock analysis
When running Modine Manufacturing's price analysis, check to measure Modine Manufacturing's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Modine Manufacturing is operating at the current time. Most of Modine Manufacturing's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Modine Manufacturing's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Modine Manufacturing's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Modine Manufacturing to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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