Marten Transport Stock Price Patterns
| MRTN Stock | USD 13.24 0.02 0.15% |
Momentum 65
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.34) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.035 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.2759 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.4324 | Wall Street Target Price 14 |
Using Marten Transport hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Marten Transport from the perspective of Marten Transport response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Marten Transport using Marten Transport's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Marten using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Marten Transport's stock price.
Marten Transport Implied Volatility | 1.27 |
Marten Transport's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Marten Transport stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Marten Transport's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Marten Transport stock will not fluctuate a lot when Marten Transport's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Marten Transport to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Marten because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Marten Transport after-hype prediction price | USD 13.13 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Marten contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Marten Transport will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0794% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Marten Transport trading at USD 13.24, that is roughly USD 0.0105 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Marten Transport's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Marten Transport options at the current volatility level of 1.27%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Marten Transport Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Marten Transport's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Marten Transport After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Marten Transport at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Marten Transport or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Marten Transport, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Marten Transport Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Marten Transport's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Marten Transport's historical news coverage. Marten Transport's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.94 and 15.32, respectively. We have considered Marten Transport's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Marten Transport is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Marten Transport is based on 3 months time horizon.
Marten Transport Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Marten Transport is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Marten Transport backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Marten Transport, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.57 | 2.19 | 0.11 | 0.02 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
13.24 | 13.13 | 0.83 |
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Marten Transport Hype Timeline
Marten Transport is now traded for 13.24. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Marten is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 13.13. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.83%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.57%. The volatility of related hype on Marten Transport is about 8111.11%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.26. About 29.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.41. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Marten Transport last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 2025. The entity had 3:2 split on the 14th of August 2020. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Marten Transport Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Marten Transport Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Marten Transport's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Marten Transport's future price movements. Getting to know how Marten Transport's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Marten Transport may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HTLD | Heartland Express | (0.31) | 12 per month | 1.52 | 0.21 | 5.90 | (2.63) | 13.29 | |
| NAT | Nordic American Tankers | 0.03 | 9 per month | 1.14 | 0.18 | 3.33 | (2.03) | 10.94 | |
| ERII | Energy Recovery | (0.17) | 7 per month | 1.65 | 0.06 | 2.71 | (2.49) | 7.04 | |
| NPK | National Presto Industries | 0.36 | 6 per month | 1.36 | 0.16 | 3.03 | (2.41) | 9.82 | |
| CVLG | Covenant Logistics Group | 0.24 | 7 per month | 1.40 | 0.21 | 5.70 | (2.57) | 14.15 | |
| ULCC | Frontier Group Holdings | 0.24 | 15 per month | 3.59 | 0.12 | 9.48 | (6.83) | 23.28 | |
| GNK | Genco Shipping Trading | (0.42) | 8 per month | 1.50 | 0.16 | 3.45 | (2.74) | 13.08 | |
| APOG | Apogee Enterprises | 0.36 | 10 per month | 2.75 | 0.10 | 4.38 | (2.47) | 17.55 | |
| ALTG | Alta Equipment Group | (0.11) | 8 per month | 2.69 | 0.12 | 7.06 | (4.73) | 15.56 | |
| AEBI | Aebi Schmidt Holding | 0.05 | 3 per month | 1.92 | 0.15 | 4.30 | (3.12) | 12.80 |
Marten Transport Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Marten price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Marten using various technical indicators. When you analyze Marten charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Marten Transport Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Marten Transport stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Marten Transport, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Marten Transport based on analysis of Marten Transport hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Marten Transport's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Marten Transport's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0114 | 0.0154 | 0.0211 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.51 | 1.32 | 1.05 |
Pair Trading with Marten Transport
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Marten Transport position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Marten Transport will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Marten Stock
| 0.91 | R | Ryder System | PairCorr |
| 0.98 | WERN | Werner Enterprises | PairCorr |
| 0.99 | KNX | Knight Transportation | PairCorr |
| 0.71 | NMM | Navios Maritime Partners | PairCorr |
| 0.64 | PAL | Proficient Auto Logistics Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.83 | ZIG | ZIGUP plc | PairCorr |
Moving against Marten Stock
| 0.74 | YGMZ | Mingzhu Logistics | PairCorr |
| 0.65 | RVSNW | Rail Vision | PairCorr |
| 0.61 | HTZWW | Hertz Global Hldgs | PairCorr |
| 0.55 | CRGOW | Freightos Limited | PairCorr |
| 0.33 | HXHX | Haoxin Holdings | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Marten Transport could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Marten Transport when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Marten Transport - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Marten Transport to buy it.
The correlation of Marten Transport is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Marten Transport moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Marten Transport moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Marten Transport can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Marten Transport Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Marten Stock, please use our How to Invest in Marten Transport guide.You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Will Cargo Ground Transportation sector continue expanding? Could Marten diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Marten Transport. Expected growth trajectory for Marten significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Marten Transport data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.34) | Dividend Share 0.24 | Earnings Share 0.21 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) |
The market value of Marten Transport is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Marten that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Marten Transport's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Marten Transport's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Marten Transport's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Marten Transport's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Marten Transport's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Marten Transport represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Marten Transport's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.