Midland States Bancorp Stock Price Patterns
| MSBIP Stock | USD 25.51 0.06 0.24% |
Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Midland States hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Midland States Bancorp from the perspective of Midland States response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Midland States to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Midland because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Midland States after-hype prediction price | USD 0.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Midland States Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Midland States After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Midland States at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Midland States or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Midland States, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Midland States Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Midland States' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Midland States' historical news coverage. Midland States' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.35, respectively. We have considered Midland States' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Midland States is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Midland States Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Midland States Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Midland States is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Midland States backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Midland States, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 0.35 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 27 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 27 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
25.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
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Midland States Hype Timeline
Midland States Bancorp is now traded for 25.51. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Midland is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 175.0%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Midland States is about 1750.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.51. The company last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 2025. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 27 days. Check out Midland States Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Midland States Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Midland States' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Midland States' future price movements. Getting to know how Midland States' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Midland States may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SHBI | Shore Bancshares | (0.33) | 25 per month | 1.12 | 0.13 | 3.11 | (1.67) | 8.64 | |
| TCBX | Third Coast Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.42 | 0.06 | 3.27 | (2.43) | 9.59 | |
| NRIM | Northrim BanCorp | (0.09) | 16 per month | 3.22 | 0 | 4.46 | (3.09) | 21.03 | |
| BHB | Bar Harbor Bankshares | 0.13 | 7 per month | 1.46 | 0.06 | 3.28 | (2.46) | 8.32 | |
| FMNB | Farmers National Banc | 0.21 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.82 | (2.64) | 11.02 | |
| NPB | Northpointe Bancshares | 0.08 | 6 per month | 1.71 | 0.02 | 3.68 | (3.80) | 8.26 | |
| ALRS | Alerus Financial Corp | 0.23 | 10 per month | 1.17 | 0.09 | 2.92 | (2.19) | 9.30 | |
| AROW | Arrow Financial | (0.21) | 10 per month | 1.27 | 0.13 | 3.59 | (2.89) | 9.60 | |
| CBNK | Capital Bancorp | (0.21) | 9 per month | 1.29 | (0.01) | 2.67 | (2.02) | 8.39 | |
| EGBN | Eagle Bancorp | (0.01) | 9 per month | 1.57 | 0.20 | 5.15 | (2.91) | 19.57 |
Midland States Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Midland price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Midland using various technical indicators. When you analyze Midland charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Midland States Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Midland States stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Midland States Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Midland States based on analysis of Midland States hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Midland States's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Midland States's related companies.
Pair Trading with Midland States
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Midland States position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Midland States will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Midland Stock
| 0.59 | T | ATT Inc Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.46 | FSTF | First State Financial | PairCorr |
| 0.42 | HPQ | HP Inc | PairCorr |
| 0.36 | MMM | 3M Company | PairCorr |
| 0.32 | ERHE | ERHC Energy | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Midland States could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Midland States when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Midland States - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Midland States Bancorp to buy it.
The correlation of Midland States is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Midland States moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Midland States Bancorp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Midland States can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Midland Stock Analysis
When running Midland States' price analysis, check to measure Midland States' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Midland States is operating at the current time. Most of Midland States' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Midland States' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Midland States' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Midland States to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.