Matador Resources Stock Price Prediction
| MTDR Stock | USD 59.54 0.72 1.19% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
74
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.1) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.06 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.4162 | EPS Estimate Next Year 8.4682 | Wall Street Target Price 76.8235 |
Using Matador Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Matador Resources from the perspective of Matador Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Matador Resources using Matador Resources' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Matador using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Matador Resources' stock price.
Matador Resources Short Interest
An investor who is long Matador Resources may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Matador Resources and may potentially protect profits, hedge Matador Resources with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 57.8776 | Short Percent 0.0683 | Short Ratio 6.55 | Shares Short Prior Month 7 M | 50 Day MA 58.4294 |
Matador Resources Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Matador Resources' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Matador. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Matador can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Matador Resources. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Matador Resources' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Matador Resources.
Matador Resources Implied Volatility | 0.45 |
Matador Resources' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Matador Resources stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Matador Resources' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Matador Resources stock will not fluctuate a lot when Matador Resources' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Matador Resources to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Matador because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Matador Resources after-hype prediction price | USD 59.08 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Matador contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Matador Resources will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0281% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Matador Resources trading at USD 59.54, that is roughly USD 0.0167 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Matador Resources' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Matador Resources options at the current volatility level of 0.45%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Matador |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Matador Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Matador Resources After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Matador Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Matador Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Matador Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Matador Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Matador Resources' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Matador Resources' historical news coverage. Matador Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 57.09 and 61.07, respectively. We have considered Matador Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Matador Resources is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Matador Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.
Matador Resources Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Matador Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Matador Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Matador Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 1.99 | 0.46 | 0.03 | 11 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
59.54 | 59.08 | 0.77 |
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Matador Resources Hype Timeline
Matador Resources is now traded for 59.54. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.46, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Matador is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 59.08. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 99.5%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.77%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.23%. The volatility of related hype on Matador Resources is about 1538.16%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 59.57. About 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.54. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Matador Resources has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.1. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.56. The firm last dividend was issued on the 15th of November 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Matador Resources Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Matador Resources Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Matador Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Matador Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how Matador Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Matador Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Matador Resources Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Matador price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Matador using various technical indicators. When you analyze Matador charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Matador Resources Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Matador Resources stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Matador Resources, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Matador Resources based on analysis of Matador Resources hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Matador Resources's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Matador Resources's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.005213 | 0.0114 | 0.0103 | 0.0108 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.21 | 2.4 | 2.76 | 2.63 |
Story Coverage note for Matador Resources
The number of cover stories for Matador Resources depends on current market conditions and Matador Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Matador Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Matador Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Matador Resources Short Properties
Matador Resources' future price predictability will typically decrease when Matador Resources' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Matador Resources often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Matador Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Matador Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 120 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 52.7 M |
Additional Tools for Matador Stock Analysis
When running Matador Resources' price analysis, check to measure Matador Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Matador Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Matador Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Matador Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Matador Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Matador Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.