National Capital Bank Stock Price Prediction
| NACB Stock | USD 240.00 20.90 8.01% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
77
Oversold | Overbought |
Using National Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of National Capital Bank from the perspective of National Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in National Capital to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying National because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
National Capital after-hype prediction price | USD 300.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
National |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of National Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
National Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of National Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in National Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of National Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
National Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting National Capital's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on National Capital's historical news coverage. National Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 296.44 and 303.56, respectively. We have considered National Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
National Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of National Capital Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.
National Capital Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as National Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading National Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with National Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.79 | 3.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
240.00 | 300.00 | 0.00 |
|
National Capital Hype Timeline
National Capital Bank is now traded for 240.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. National is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.79%. %. The volatility of related hype on National Capital is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 240.00. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 15.81. National Capital Bank last dividend was issued on the 13th of February 2023. The entity had 2:1 split on the 2nd of April 2002. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out National Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.National Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to National Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict National Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how National Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how National Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DWNX | Delhi Bank Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.21 | (0.48) | 0.49 | (0.58) | 1.47 | |
| CCFC | CCSB Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 0.60 | (2.55) | 7.12 | |
| BKUT | Bank of Utica | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.06 | 2.65 | 0.00 | 5.81 | |
| BEOB | BEO Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 0.68 | (1.30) | 5.57 | |
| FCCT | First Community | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.04 | |
| LWCL | Lewis Clark Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 2.66 | 0.00 | 5.26 | |
| BOID | Bank of Idaho | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1.57 | (0.98) | 6.38 | |
| FBSI | First Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 3.37 | (1.09) | 15.57 | |
| CMHF | Community Heritage Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.51 | (0.07) | 2.20 | (1.37) | 4.86 | |
| WBZB | Washington Business Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.44 | 0.00 | 3.36 | |
| CIWV | Citizens Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 4.22 | (0.74) | 18.86 | |
| NODB | North Dallas Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.42 | (0) | 0.96 | (0.22) | 7.28 | |
| FSDK | The First Citizens | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
National Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine National price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for National using various technical indicators. When you analyze National charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About National Capital Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of National Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as National Capital Bank, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of National Capital based on analysis of National Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to National Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to National Capital's related companies.
Story Coverage note for National Capital
The number of cover stories for National Capital depends on current market conditions and National Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that National Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about National Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Complementary Tools for National Pink Sheet analysis
When running National Capital's price analysis, check to measure National Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National Capital is operating at the current time. Most of National Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Transaction History View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance | |
| Equity Valuation Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data | |
| Idea Breakdown Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes | |
| Latest Portfolios Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios | |
| Portfolio Anywhere Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device | |
| Financial Widgets Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets | |
| Portfolio Diagnostics Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings | |
| Price Exposure Probability Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets | |
| Portfolio File Import Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format |