NCC Group (UK) Price Prediction
| NCC Stock | 144.20 2.60 1.84% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
48
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.279 | EPS Estimate Current Year 12.8 | EPS Estimate Next Year 14.24 | Wall Street Target Price 178 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.059 |
Using NCC Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NCC Group plc from the perspective of NCC Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in NCC Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying NCC because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
NCC Group after-hype prediction price | GBX 143.56 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
NCC |
NCC Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of NCC Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NCC Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NCC Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
NCC Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting NCC Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NCC Group's historical news coverage. NCC Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 140.97 and 146.15, respectively. We have considered NCC Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
NCC Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NCC Group plc is based on 3 months time horizon.
NCC Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NCC Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NCC Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NCC Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 2.59 | 0.64 | 0.05 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
144.20 | 143.56 | 0.44 |
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NCC Group Hype Timeline
NCC Group plc is now traded for 144.20on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.64, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. NCC is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 143.56. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 92.5%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.44%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.23%. The volatility of related hype on NCC Group is about 1304.32%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 144.25. About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of NCC Group was now reported as 0.76. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.08. NCC Group plc last dividend was issued on the 5th of September 2024. The entity had 6:1 split on the 19th of December 2012. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out NCC Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.NCC Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to NCC Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NCC Group's future price movements. Getting to know how NCC Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NCC Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ATT | Allianz Technology Trust | 7.00 | 3 per month | 1.08 | 0.16 | 2.47 | (2.67) | 7.12 | |
| GMR | Gaming Realms plc | 0.75 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.33 | (3.14) | 19.35 | |
| HOC | Hochschild Mining plc | (1.00) | 3 per month | 2.60 | 0.07 | 5.90 | (5.44) | 16.16 | |
| IBT | International Biotechnology Trust | (3.24) | 3 per month | 1.31 | (0.03) | 2.20 | (1.73) | 7.67 | |
| 0H9X | Fresenius Medical Care | 0.38 | 3 per month | 1.35 | 0.13 | 3.37 | (2.14) | 9.10 | |
| AMS | Advanced Medical Solutions | (2.50) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 4.97 | (4.36) | 19.86 | |
| OHT | Ocean Harvest Technology | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.94 | (4.76) | 13.47 |
NCC Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NCC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NCC using various technical indicators. When you analyze NCC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About NCC Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of NCC Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as NCC Group plc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of NCC Group based on analysis of NCC Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to NCC Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to NCC Group's related companies.
Story Coverage note for NCC Group
The number of cover stories for NCC Group depends on current market conditions and NCC Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NCC Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NCC Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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NCC Group Short Properties
NCC Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when NCC Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of NCC Group plc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential NCC Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NCC Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 311.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18 M |
Complementary Tools for NCC Stock analysis
When running NCC Group's price analysis, check to measure NCC Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NCC Group is operating at the current time. Most of NCC Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NCC Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NCC Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NCC Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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