Annaly Capital Management Stock Price Prediction

NLY Stock  USD 19.78  0.31  1.59%   
At this time, The RSI of Annaly Capital's share price is at 56. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Annaly Capital, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

56

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Annaly Capital's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Annaly Capital Management, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Annaly Capital's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.88)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.68
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.6361
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.7567
Wall Street Target Price
21.55
Using Annaly Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Annaly Capital Management from the perspective of Annaly Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Annaly Capital Management Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Annaly Capital's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Annaly. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Annaly can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Annaly Capital Management. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Annaly Capital's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Annaly Capital.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Annaly Capital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Annaly because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Annaly Capital after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 19.78  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Annaly Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.6719.7020.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.9519.9821.01
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
20.0222.0024.42
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.630.660.67
Details

Annaly Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Annaly Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Annaly Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Annaly Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Annaly Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Annaly Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Annaly Capital's historical news coverage. Annaly Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.75 and 20.81, respectively. We have considered Annaly Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
19.78
19.78
After-hype Price
20.81
Upside
Annaly Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Annaly Capital Management is based on 3 months time horizon.

Annaly Capital Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Annaly Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Annaly Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Annaly Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
1.03
  0.01 
 0.00  
10 Events / Month
10 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
19.78
19.78
0.00 
367.86  
Notes

Annaly Capital Hype Timeline

On the 22nd of November Annaly Capital Management is traded for 19.78. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Annaly is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Annaly Capital is about 3862.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.78. About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.0. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Annaly Capital Management recorded a loss per share of 0.08. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of September 2024. The firm had 1:4 split on the 26th of September 2022. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Annaly Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Annaly Capital Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Annaly Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Annaly Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Annaly Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Annaly Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ARRARMOUR Residential REIT(0.12)8 per month 0.00 (0.16) 1.47 (2.02) 4.86 
TWOTwo Harbors Investments(0.13)10 per month 0.00 (0.24) 1.42 (2.21) 8.41 
ABRArbor Realty Trust(0.46)8 per month 1.23  0.06  2.38 (2.19) 6.99 
CIMChimera Investment 0.13 7 per month 1.51 (0.07) 1.80 (2.36) 8.55 
ORCOrchid Island Capital(0.13)8 per month 1.37 (0.08) 1.66 (2.11) 6.35 
IVRInvesco Mortgage Capital 0.07 9 per month 0.00 (0.1) 1.85 (2.89) 6.35 
NYMTNew York Mortgage 0.15 7 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.48 (3.32) 7.18 
AGNCAGNC Investment Corp 0.03 9 per month 0.00 (0.11) 1.49 (2.10) 5.49 
STWDStarwood Property Trust 0.02 9 per month 1.29 (0.07) 1.45 (1.94) 5.81 
RITMRithm Capital Corp 0.14 9 per month 0.00 (0.13) 1.41 (1.85) 6.70 
BXMTBlackstone Mortgage Trust(0.19)10 per month 1.27  0.01  2.27 (2.25) 6.93 
ACREAres Commercial Real 0.17 7 per month 1.68  0.01  2.88 (2.67) 13.22 

Annaly Capital Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Annaly price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Annaly using various technical indicators. When you analyze Annaly charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Annaly Capital Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Annaly Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Annaly Capital Management, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Annaly Capital based on analysis of Annaly Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Annaly Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Annaly Capital's related companies.
 2017 2024 (projected)
PTB Ratio0.851.06
Dividend Yield0.110.096

Story Coverage note for Annaly Capital

The number of cover stories for Annaly Capital depends on current market conditions and Annaly Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Annaly Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Annaly Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Annaly Capital Short Properties

Annaly Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Annaly Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Annaly Capital Management often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Annaly Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Annaly Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding494.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.4 B

Additional Tools for Annaly Stock Analysis

When running Annaly Capital's price analysis, check to measure Annaly Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Annaly Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Annaly Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Annaly Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Annaly Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Annaly Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.