Navios Maritime Partners Stock Price Prediction

NMM Stock  USD 51.38  1.30  2.47%   
As of now, the value of relative strength index of Navios Maritime's share price is approaching 32. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Navios Maritime, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

32

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Navios Maritime's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Navios Maritime and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Navios Maritime's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Navios Maritime Partners, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Navios Maritime's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.092
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
4.78
EPS Estimate Current Year
13.435
EPS Estimate Next Year
17.64
Wall Street Target Price
82.5
Using Navios Maritime hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Navios Maritime Partners from the perspective of Navios Maritime response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Navios Maritime to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Navios because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Navios Maritime after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 51.37  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Navios Maritime Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.8637.2556.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
49.0151.4053.78
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
34.1337.5041.63
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.093.363.62
Details

Navios Maritime After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Navios Maritime at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Navios Maritime or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Navios Maritime, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Navios Maritime Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Navios Maritime's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Navios Maritime's historical news coverage. Navios Maritime's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 48.98 and 53.76, respectively. We have considered Navios Maritime's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
51.38
51.37
After-hype Price
53.76
Upside
Navios Maritime is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Navios Maritime Partners is based on 3 months time horizon.

Navios Maritime Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Navios Maritime is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Navios Maritime backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Navios Maritime, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.02 
2.39
  0.02 
  0.01 
10 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
51.38
51.37
0.02 
256.99  
Notes

Navios Maritime Hype Timeline

On the 22nd of November Navios Maritime Partners is traded for 51.38. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Navios is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 51.37. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.02%. The volatility of related hype on Navios Maritime is about 682.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 51.37. About 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.52. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Navios Maritime Partners recorded earning per share (EPS) of 13.17. The entity last dividend was issued on the 12th of November 2024. The firm had 1:15 split on the 21st of May 2019. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Navios Maritime Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Navios Maritime Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Navios Maritime's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Navios Maritime's future price movements. Getting to know how Navios Maritime's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Navios Maritime may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GSLGlobal Ship Lease(1.20)9 per month 0.00 (0.14) 2.45 (2.86) 8.20 
CMRECostamare(0.03)7 per month 2.22 (0.0003) 3.19 (4.34) 9.49 
GNKGenco Shipping Trading 0.23 7 per month 1.59 (0.03) 2.54 (2.83) 7.25 
EGLEEagle Bulk Shipping 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.14 (3.92) 10.32 
DACDanaos(0.49)10 per month 1.36 (0.03) 2.46 (2.43) 7.45 
CPLPCapital Product Partners 0.19 8 per month 2.13 (0.01) 3.59 (3.04) 14.99 
ESEAEuroseas(1.17)12 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.85 (4.63) 16.76 
ASCArdmore Shpng(0.26)9 per month 0.00 (0.35) 2.41 (3.86) 10.54 
EDRYEuroDry(0.42)6 per month 0.00 (0.34) 1.96 (2.87) 8.90 

Navios Maritime Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Navios price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Navios using various technical indicators. When you analyze Navios charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Navios Maritime Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Navios Maritime stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Navios Maritime Partners, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Navios Maritime based on analysis of Navios Maritime hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Navios Maritime's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Navios Maritime's related companies.
 2021 2022 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0079680.007714
Price To Sales Ratio0.80.65

Story Coverage note for Navios Maritime

The number of cover stories for Navios Maritime depends on current market conditions and Navios Maritime's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Navios Maritime is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Navios Maritime's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Navios Maritime Short Properties

Navios Maritime's future price predictability will typically decrease when Navios Maritime's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Navios Maritime Partners often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Navios Maritime's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Navios Maritime's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding30.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments287.4 M
When determining whether Navios Maritime Partners is a strong investment it is important to analyze Navios Maritime's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Navios Maritime's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Navios Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Navios Maritime Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Cargo Ground Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Navios Maritime. If investors know Navios will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Navios Maritime listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.092
Dividend Share
0.2
Earnings Share
13.17
Revenue Per Share
43.275
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.055
The market value of Navios Maritime Partners is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Navios that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Navios Maritime's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Navios Maritime's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Navios Maritime's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Navios Maritime's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Navios Maritime's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Navios Maritime is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Navios Maritime's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.