Newmark Group Stock Price Prediction
| NMRK Stock | USD 15.52 0.24 1.57% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
63
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.802 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.47 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.15 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.3975 | Wall Street Target Price 17.3333 |
Using Newmark hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Newmark Group from the perspective of Newmark response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Newmark Group Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Newmark's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Newmark. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Newmark can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Newmark Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Newmark's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Newmark.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Newmark to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Newmark because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Newmark after-hype prediction price | USD 15.18 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Newmark |
Newmark After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Newmark at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Newmark or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Newmark, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Newmark Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Newmark's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Newmark's historical news coverage. Newmark's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.41 and 16.95, respectively. We have considered Newmark's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Newmark is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Newmark Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Newmark Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Newmark is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Newmark backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Newmark, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 1.78 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.52 | 15.18 | 0.65 |
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Newmark Hype Timeline
Newmark Group is now traded for 15.52. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Newmark is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 15.18. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.65%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on Newmark is about 42720.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.52. About 13.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Newmark was now reported as 6.96. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.53. Newmark Group last dividend was issued on the 21st of November 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Newmark Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Newmark Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Newmark's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Newmark's future price movements. Getting to know how Newmark's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Newmark may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JLL | Jones Lang LaSalle | 0.05 | 10 per month | 1.67 | (0.01) | 3.17 | (2.20) | 11.41 | |
| CBRE | CBRE Group Class | (1.11) | 11 per month | 1.02 | 0.09 | 2.87 | (1.72) | 12.38 | |
| CIGI | Colliers International Group | (2.12) | 9 per month | 1.31 | (0.06) | 2.36 | (2.03) | 8.07 | |
| MMI | Marcus Millichap | (0.21) | 10 per month | 1.50 | 0.02 | 4.32 | (2.59) | 9.67 | |
| CWK | Cushman Wakefield plc | 1.37 | 8 per month | 1.69 | 0.03 | 4.12 | (3.05) | 19.01 | |
| FRPH | Frp Holdings Ord | (0.01) | 10 per month | 0.99 | 0.05 | 2.20 | (1.94) | 5.60 | |
| TCI | Transcontinental Realty Investors | 0.69 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.60 | (3.18) | 9.83 | |
| MAYS | J W Mays | 0.00 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.31 | (3.62) | 11.71 | |
| HOUS | Anywhere Real Estate | 0.32 | 9 per month | 3.16 | (0.03) | 6.89 | (5.35) | 19.60 | |
| RMAX | Re Max Holding | (0.16) | 8 per month | 2.45 | 0.05 | 5.18 | (4.18) | 24.53 | |
| CSGP | CoStar Group | 0.31 | 9 per month | 1.98 | (0.02) | 2.95 | (2.79) | 8.44 | |
| FSV | FirstService Corp | 0.92 | 9 per month | 0.72 | 0.02 | 1.88 | (1.24) | 4.36 |
Newmark Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Newmark price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Newmark using various technical indicators. When you analyze Newmark charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Newmark Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Newmark stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Newmark Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Newmark based on analysis of Newmark hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Newmark's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Newmark's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.002146 | 0.0125 | 0.011 | 0.0104 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.22 | 0.53 | 0.77 | 1.17 |
Story Coverage note for Newmark
The number of cover stories for Newmark depends on current market conditions and Newmark's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Newmark is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Newmark's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Newmark Short Properties
Newmark's future price predictability will typically decrease when Newmark's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Newmark Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Newmark's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Newmark's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 176.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 165 M |
Check out Newmark Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Newmark. If investors know Newmark will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Newmark listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.802 | Dividend Share 0.12 | Earnings Share 0.3 | Revenue Per Share 15.115 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.113 |
The market value of Newmark Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Newmark that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Newmark's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Newmark's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Newmark's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Newmark's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Newmark's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Newmark is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Newmark's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.