Nextnav Warrant Stock Price Prediction
| NNAVW Stock | USD 6.32 0.04 0.64% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
90
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.565 |
Using NextNav Warrant hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NextNav Warrant from the perspective of NextNav Warrant response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in NextNav Warrant to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying NextNav because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
NextNav Warrant after-hype prediction price | USD 5.63 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
NextNav |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NextNav Warrant's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NextNav Warrant After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of NextNav Warrant at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NextNav Warrant or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NextNav Warrant, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
NextNav Warrant Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting NextNav Warrant's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NextNav Warrant's historical news coverage. NextNav Warrant's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.68 and 10.58, respectively. We have considered NextNav Warrant's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
NextNav Warrant is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NextNav Warrant is based on 3 months time horizon.
NextNav Warrant Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NextNav Warrant is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NextNav Warrant backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NextNav Warrant, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.69 | 4.95 | 0.69 | 0.03 | 1 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.32 | 5.63 | 10.92 |
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NextNav Warrant Hype Timeline
NextNav Warrant is now traded for 6.32. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.69, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. NextNav is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 5.63. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -10.92%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 1.69%. The volatility of related hype on NextNav Warrant is about 29117.65%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.35. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.37. NextNav Warrant had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be very soon. Check out NextNav Warrant Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.NextNav Warrant Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to NextNav Warrant's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NextNav Warrant's future price movements. Getting to know how NextNav Warrant's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NextNav Warrant may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AQUI | Aquagold International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MSTSX | Morningstar Unconstrained Allocation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.53 | (0.15) | 1.03 | (1.02) | 2.80 | |
| LBHIX | Thrivent High Yield | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.59) | 0.24 | (0.24) | 0.96 | |
| VIASP | Via Renewables | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.13 | (0.04) | 2.28 | (1.20) | 7.18 | |
| RRTLX | T Rowe Price | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.24 | (0.34) | 0.56 | (0.56) | 1.37 | |
| OSHDF | Oshidori International Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,329 | |
| 70082LAB3 | US70082LAB36 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.25 | (0.04) | 1.75 | (1.69) | 24.27 | |
| SITKF | Sitka Gold Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.03 | 0.14 | 14.29 | (9.09) | 32.64 | |
| RWAYL | MSCI ACWI exAUCONSUMER | 0.17 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.49) | 0.32 | (0.20) | 1.21 | |
| SEGI | Sycamore Entmt Grp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 10.74 | 0.15 | 33.33 | (25.00) | 63.33 |
NextNav Warrant Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NextNav price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NextNav using various technical indicators. When you analyze NextNav charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About NextNav Warrant Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of NextNav Warrant stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as NextNav Warrant, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of NextNav Warrant based on analysis of NextNav Warrant hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to NextNav Warrant's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to NextNav Warrant's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 32.59 | 16.55 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 211.39 | 187.9 |
Story Coverage note for NextNav Warrant
The number of cover stories for NextNav Warrant depends on current market conditions and NextNav Warrant's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NextNav Warrant is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NextNav Warrant's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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NextNav Warrant Short Properties
NextNav Warrant's future price predictability will typically decrease when NextNav Warrant's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of NextNav Warrant often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential NextNav Warrant's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NextNav Warrant's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 108 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 85.8 M |
Additional Tools for NextNav Stock Analysis
When running NextNav Warrant's price analysis, check to measure NextNav Warrant's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NextNav Warrant is operating at the current time. Most of NextNav Warrant's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NextNav Warrant's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NextNav Warrant's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NextNav Warrant to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.