NOS SGPS (Portugal) Price Prediction
| NOS Stock | EUR 3.48 0.02 0.58% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
35
Oversold | Overbought |
Using NOS SGPS hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NOS SGPS SA from the perspective of NOS SGPS response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in NOS SGPS to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying NOS because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
NOS SGPS after-hype prediction price | EUR 3.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
NOS |
NOS SGPS After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of NOS SGPS at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NOS SGPS or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NOS SGPS, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
NOS SGPS Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting NOS SGPS's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NOS SGPS's historical news coverage. NOS SGPS's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.49 and 4.47, respectively. We have considered NOS SGPS's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
NOS SGPS is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NOS SGPS SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
NOS SGPS Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NOS SGPS is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NOS SGPS backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NOS SGPS, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 0.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.48 | 3.48 | 0.00 |
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NOS SGPS Hype Timeline
NOS SGPS SA is now traded for 3.48on Euronext Lisbon of Portugal. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. NOS is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on NOS SGPS is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.48. About 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.89. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. NOS SGPS SA has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.91. The entity last dividend was issued on the 5th of May 2022. The firm had 2:1 split on the 14th of June 2005. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out NOS SGPS Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.NOS SGPS Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to NOS SGPS's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NOS SGPS's future price movements. Getting to know how NOS SGPS's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NOS SGPS may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SON | Sonae SGPS SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.10 | (1.09) | 4.23 | |
| NVG | The Navigator | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.37 | (1.63) | 7.92 | |
| GALP | Galp Energia SGPS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 1.49 | (3.83) | 6.73 | |
| RENE | REN Redes | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.62 | (0.10) | 0.88 | (0.86) | 2.16 | |
| ALTR | Altri SGPS SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.91 | (0.06) | 1.94 | (1.78) | 7.15 |
NOS SGPS Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NOS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NOS using various technical indicators. When you analyze NOS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About NOS SGPS Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of NOS SGPS stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as NOS SGPS SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of NOS SGPS based on analysis of NOS SGPS hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to NOS SGPS's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to NOS SGPS's related companies.
Story Coverage note for NOS SGPS
The number of cover stories for NOS SGPS depends on current market conditions and NOS SGPS's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NOS SGPS is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NOS SGPS's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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NOS SGPS Short Properties
NOS SGPS's future price predictability will typically decrease when NOS SGPS's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of NOS SGPS SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential NOS SGPS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NOS SGPS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 512.2 M |
Additional Tools for NOS Stock Analysis
When running NOS SGPS's price analysis, check to measure NOS SGPS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NOS SGPS is operating at the current time. Most of NOS SGPS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NOS SGPS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NOS SGPS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NOS SGPS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.