Galp Energia (Portugal) Price Prediction
| GALP Stock | EUR 15.84 0.06 0.38% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using Galp Energia hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Galp Energia SGPS from the perspective of Galp Energia response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Galp Energia to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Galp because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Galp Energia after-hype prediction price | EUR 15.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Galp |
Galp Energia After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Galp Energia at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Galp Energia or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Galp Energia, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Galp Energia Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Galp Energia's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Galp Energia's historical news coverage. Galp Energia's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.35 and 17.33, respectively. We have considered Galp Energia's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Galp Energia is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Galp Energia SGPS is based on 3 months time horizon.
Galp Energia Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Galp Energia is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Galp Energia backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Galp Energia, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
15.84 | 15.84 | 0.00 |
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Galp Energia Hype Timeline
Galp Energia SGPS is currently traded for 15.84on Euronext Lisbon of Portugal. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Galp is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.32%. %. The volatility of related hype on Galp Energia is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.84. About 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Galp Energia was currently reported as 5.12. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.95. Galp Energia SGPS last dividend was issued on the 16th of September 2022. The entity had 1:0 split on the 25th of December 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Galp Energia Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Galp Energia Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Galp Energia's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Galp Energia's future price movements. Getting to know how Galp Energia's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Galp Energia may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EDP | EDP Energias | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.04 | (2.05) | 10.36 | |
| SON | Sonae SGPS SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.10 | (1.09) | 4.23 | |
| BCP | Banco Comercial Portugues | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.25 | 0.02 | 2.50 | (2.44) | 11.75 | |
| NOS | NOS SGPS SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.13 | (0.12) | 1.19 | (1.39) | 6.16 | |
| ALTR | Altri SGPS SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.89 | (0.06) | 1.94 | (1.78) | 7.15 |
Galp Energia Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Galp price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Galp using various technical indicators. When you analyze Galp charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About Galp Energia Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Galp Energia stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Galp Energia SGPS, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Galp Energia based on analysis of Galp Energia hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Galp Energia's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Galp Energia's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Galp Energia
The number of cover stories for Galp Energia depends on current market conditions and Galp Energia's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Galp Energia is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Galp Energia's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Galp Energia Short Properties
Galp Energia's future price predictability will typically decrease when Galp Energia's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Galp Energia SGPS often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Galp Energia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Galp Energia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 829.3 M |
Additional Tools for Galp Stock Analysis
When running Galp Energia's price analysis, check to measure Galp Energia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Galp Energia is operating at the current time. Most of Galp Energia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Galp Energia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Galp Energia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Galp Energia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.