National Presto Industries Stock Price Prediction
| NPK Stock | USD 76.52 0.97 1.28% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
57
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.148 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.74 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.87 | Wall Street Target Price 18.93 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.104 |
Using National Presto hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of National Presto Industries from the perspective of National Presto response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in National Presto to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying National because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
National Presto after-hype prediction price | USD 76.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
National |
National Presto After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of National Presto at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in National Presto or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of National Presto, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
National Presto Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting National Presto's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on National Presto's historical news coverage. National Presto's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 75.01 and 78.03, respectively. We have considered National Presto's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
National Presto is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of National Presto Indu is based on 3 months time horizon.
National Presto Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as National Presto is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading National Presto backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with National Presto, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.51 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 5 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
76.52 | 76.52 | 0.00 |
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National Presto Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November National Presto Indu is traded for 76.52. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. National is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on National Presto is about 135.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 76.58. About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.55. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. National Presto Indu last dividend was issued on the 29th of February 2024. The entity had 3:2 split on the 1st of July 1983. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 5 days. Check out National Presto Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.National Presto Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to National Presto's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict National Presto's future price movements. Getting to know how National Presto's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how National Presto may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PKE | Park Electrochemical | 0.62 | 4 per month | 0.98 | 0.06 | 3.51 | (1.98) | 12.34 | |
| DCO | Ducommun Incorporated | 1.97 | 10 per month | 1.57 | (0.05) | 2.90 | (2.30) | 8.32 | |
| ISSC | Innovative Solutions and | 0.05 | 6 per month | 1.65 | 0.01 | 3.28 | (3.31) | 9.31 | |
| VSEC | VSE Corporation | (2.48) | 9 per month | 2.10 | 0.11 | 2.95 | (3.45) | 21.00 | |
| KAMN | Kaman | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.21 | 0.01 | 5.37 | (3.75) | 14.48 | |
| ATRO | Astronics | 0.45 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.07 | (6.69) | 22.57 | |
| CW | Curtiss Wright | 7.17 | 9 per month | 1.70 | 0.12 | 2.96 | (2.48) | 11.02 |
National Presto Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine National price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for National using various technical indicators. When you analyze National charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About National Presto Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of National Presto stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as National Presto Industries, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of National Presto based on analysis of National Presto hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to National Presto's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to National Presto's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0761 | 0.0657 | 0.0498 | 0.0489 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.63 | 1.51 | 1.67 | 2.15 |
Story Coverage note for National Presto
The number of cover stories for National Presto depends on current market conditions and National Presto's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that National Presto is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about National Presto's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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National Presto Short Properties
National Presto's future price predictability will typically decrease when National Presto's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of National Presto Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential National Presto's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. National Presto's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 114.1 M |
Check out National Presto Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Is Aerospace & Defense space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Presto. If investors know National will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about National Presto listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.148 | Dividend Share 1 | Earnings Share 4.76 | Revenue Per Share 49.414 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.104 |
The market value of National Presto Indu is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National Presto's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National Presto's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because National Presto's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National Presto's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between National Presto's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if National Presto is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National Presto's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.