Oasis Petroleum Stock Price Prediction

OASPW Stock  USD 55.01  0.32  0.59%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Oasis Petroleum's share price is approaching 32. This indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Oasis Petroleum, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

32

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Oasis Petroleum's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Oasis Petroleum and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Oasis Petroleum's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Oasis Petroleum, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Oasis Petroleum hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Oasis Petroleum from the perspective of Oasis Petroleum response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Oasis Petroleum to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Oasis because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Oasis Petroleum after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 55.01  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Oasis Petroleum Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
46.3749.5860.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
52.7155.9259.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
50.3853.8057.22
Details

Oasis Petroleum After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Oasis Petroleum at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Oasis Petroleum or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Oasis Petroleum, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Oasis Petroleum Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Oasis Petroleum's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Oasis Petroleum's historical news coverage. Oasis Petroleum's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 51.80 and 58.22, respectively. We have considered Oasis Petroleum's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
55.01
55.01
After-hype Price
58.22
Upside
Oasis Petroleum is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Oasis Petroleum is based on 3 months time horizon.

Oasis Petroleum Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Oasis Petroleum is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Oasis Petroleum backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Oasis Petroleum, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.48 
3.21
 0.00  
  0.17 
0 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
55.01
55.01
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Oasis Petroleum Hype Timeline

Oasis Petroleum is now traded for 55.01. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.17. Oasis is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.48%. %. The volatility of related hype on Oasis Petroleum is about 906.78%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 55.18. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain.
Check out Oasis Petroleum Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Oasis Petroleum Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Oasis Petroleum's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Oasis Petroleum's future price movements. Getting to know how Oasis Petroleum's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Oasis Petroleum may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Oasis Petroleum Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Oasis price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Oasis using various technical indicators. When you analyze Oasis charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Oasis Petroleum Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Oasis Petroleum stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Oasis Petroleum, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Oasis Petroleum based on analysis of Oasis Petroleum hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Oasis Petroleum's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Oasis Petroleum's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Oasis Petroleum

The number of cover stories for Oasis Petroleum depends on current market conditions and Oasis Petroleum's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Oasis Petroleum is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Oasis Petroleum's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Oasis Petroleum Short Properties

Oasis Petroleum's future price predictability will typically decrease when Oasis Petroleum's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Oasis Petroleum often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Oasis Petroleum's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oasis Petroleum's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments172.1 M

Additional Tools for Oasis Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Oasis Petroleum's price analysis, check to measure Oasis Petroleum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oasis Petroleum is operating at the current time. Most of Oasis Petroleum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oasis Petroleum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oasis Petroleum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oasis Petroleum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.