Oceania Healthcare (Australia) Price Prediction
| OCA Stock | 0.65 0.05 7.14% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
37
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.095 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.07 |
Using Oceania Healthcare hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Oceania Healthcare from the perspective of Oceania Healthcare response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Oceania Healthcare to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Oceania because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Oceania Healthcare after-hype prediction price | AUD 0.66 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Oceania |
Oceania Healthcare After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Oceania Healthcare at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Oceania Healthcare or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Oceania Healthcare, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Oceania Healthcare Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Oceania Healthcare's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Oceania Healthcare's historical news coverage. Oceania Healthcare's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 4.37, respectively. We have considered Oceania Healthcare's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Oceania Healthcare is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Oceania Healthcare is based on 3 months time horizon.
Oceania Healthcare Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Oceania Healthcare is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Oceania Healthcare backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Oceania Healthcare, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 3.71 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.65 | 0.66 | 1.54 |
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Oceania Healthcare Hype Timeline
Oceania Healthcare is now traded for 0.65on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Oceania is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.66 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is anticipated to be 1.54%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Oceania Healthcare is about 154583.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.65. The company reported the revenue of 265.46 M. Net Income was 31.47 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 85.03 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Oceania Healthcare Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Oceania Healthcare Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Oceania Healthcare's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Oceania Healthcare's future price movements. Getting to know how Oceania Healthcare's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Oceania Healthcare may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IVT | Inventis | (0) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.41 | |
| PGF | PM Capital Global | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.83 | (0.06) | 1.73 | (1.37) | 5.29 | |
| MQGPD | Macquarie Group Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.42 | (0.23) | 0.59 | (0.72) | 4.04 | |
| WLE | Wam Leaders | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.55 | (1.59) | 5.38 | |
| GVF | Staude Capital Global | (0.01) | 1 per month | 1.03 | (0.01) | 1.65 | (2.33) | 9.40 |
Oceania Healthcare Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Oceania price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Oceania using various technical indicators. When you analyze Oceania charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Oceania Healthcare Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Oceania Healthcare stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Oceania Healthcare, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Oceania Healthcare based on analysis of Oceania Healthcare hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Oceania Healthcare's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Oceania Healthcare's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Oceania Healthcare
The number of cover stories for Oceania Healthcare depends on current market conditions and Oceania Healthcare's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Oceania Healthcare is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Oceania Healthcare's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Oceania Healthcare Short Properties
Oceania Healthcare's future price predictability will typically decrease when Oceania Healthcare's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Oceania Healthcare often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Oceania Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oceania Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 723.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.8 M |
Additional Tools for Oceania Stock Analysis
When running Oceania Healthcare's price analysis, check to measure Oceania Healthcare's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oceania Healthcare is operating at the current time. Most of Oceania Healthcare's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oceania Healthcare's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oceania Healthcare's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oceania Healthcare to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.