Ocado Group Plc Stock Price Prediction
| OCDDY Stock | USD 7.65 0.31 3.89% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
41
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Ocado Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ocado Group plc from the perspective of Ocado Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ocado Group to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ocado because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Ocado Group after-hype prediction price | USD 7.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Ocado |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ocado Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ocado Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ocado Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ocado Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Ocado Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ocado Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ocado Group's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ocado Group's historical news coverage. Ocado Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.17 and 10.13, respectively. We have considered Ocado Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ocado Group is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ocado Group plc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ocado Group Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ocado Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ocado Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ocado Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 2.48 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.65 | 7.65 | 0.00 |
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Ocado Group Hype Timeline
Ocado Group plc is now traded for 7.65. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.12. Ocado is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ocado Group is about 635.9%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.53. The book value of the company was now reported as 3.9. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.74. Ocado Group plc had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Ocado Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Ocado Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ocado Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ocado Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Ocado Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ocado Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NGVC | Natural Grocers by | 0.38 | 10 per month | 2.26 | 0.18 | 4.68 | (3.21) | 16.25 | |
| GO | Grocery Outlet Holding | 0.58 | 10 per month | 3.80 | (0) | 5.45 | (5.23) | 22.16 | |
| VLGEA | Village Super Market | 0.05 | 8 per month | 1.83 | (0.0002) | 2.97 | (3.01) | 17.87 | |
| IMKTA | Ingles Markets Incorporated | (2.82) | 4 per month | 2.10 | (0.05) | 2.48 | (4.43) | 9.45 | |
| ACI | Albertsons Companies | (0.14) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.60 | (2.15) | 5.26 |
Ocado Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ocado price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ocado using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ocado charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Ocado Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Ocado Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ocado Group plc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ocado Group based on analysis of Ocado Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ocado Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ocado Group's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Ocado Group
The number of cover stories for Ocado Group depends on current market conditions and Ocado Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ocado Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ocado Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ocado Group Short Properties
Ocado Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ocado Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ocado Group plc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ocado Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ocado Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 359 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 B |
Additional Tools for Ocado Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Ocado Group's price analysis, check to measure Ocado Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ocado Group is operating at the current time. Most of Ocado Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ocado Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ocado Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ocado Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.