Olaplex Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| OLPX Stock | USD 1.56 0.06 3.70% |
Momentum 65
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.0118 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.0702 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.0965 | Wall Street Target Price 2.0188 |
Using Olaplex Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Olaplex Holdings from the perspective of Olaplex Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Olaplex Holdings using Olaplex Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Olaplex using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Olaplex Holdings' stock price.
Olaplex Holdings Short Interest
An investor who is long Olaplex Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Olaplex Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge Olaplex Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 1.331 | Short Percent 0.0692 | Short Ratio 7.17 | Shares Short Prior Month 8.8 M | 50 Day MA 1.3192 |
Olaplex Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Olaplex Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Olaplex. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Olaplex can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Olaplex Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Olaplex Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Olaplex Holdings.
Olaplex Holdings Implied Volatility | 3.27 |
Olaplex Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Olaplex Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Olaplex Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Olaplex Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Olaplex Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Olaplex Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Olaplex because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Olaplex Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 1.49 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Olaplex contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Olaplex Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.2% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Olaplex Holdings trading at USD 1.56, that is roughly USD 0.003188 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Olaplex Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Olaplex Holdings options at the current volatility level of 3.27%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Olaplex Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Olaplex Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Olaplex Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Olaplex Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Olaplex Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Olaplex Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Olaplex Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Olaplex Holdings' historical news coverage. Olaplex Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 6.31, respectively. We have considered Olaplex Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Olaplex Holdings is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Olaplex Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Olaplex Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Olaplex Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Olaplex Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Olaplex Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.66 | 4.78 | 0.07 | 0.06 | 12 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.56 | 1.49 | 4.49 |
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Olaplex Holdings Hype Timeline
Olaplex Holdings is now traded for 1.56. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Olaplex is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.49. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -4.49%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.66%. The volatility of related hype on Olaplex Holdings is about 4927.84%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.62. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.17. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Olaplex Holdings has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.36. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Olaplex Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Olaplex Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Olaplex Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Olaplex Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Olaplex Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Olaplex Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BBW | Build A Bear Workshop | 1.57 | 9 per month | 3.78 | 0.06 | 4.68 | (4.37) | 25.04 | |
| LQDT | Liquidity Services | (0.14) | 14 per month | 1.56 | 0.15 | 3.68 | (2.98) | 16.86 | |
| JMIA | Jumia Technologies AG | (0.50) | 8 per month | 3.68 | 0.06 | 6.29 | (5.98) | 16.35 | |
| HEPS | D MARKET Electronic Services | (0.01) | 9 per month | 4.79 | 0.03 | 3.23 | (4.94) | 61.70 | |
| ODP | ODP Corp | (0.01) | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.1 | 0.65 | (0.39) | 33.52 | |
| YSG | Yatsen Holding | (0.30) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 7.79 | (7.99) | 38.70 | |
| ARKO | Arko Corp | (0.03) | 8 per month | 2.59 | 0.09 | 5.91 | (2.93) | 18.08 | |
| BWMX | Betterware de Mxico | 0.07 | 4 per month | 1.22 | 0.21 | 3.90 | (2.22) | 13.62 | |
| CBRL | Cracker Barrel Old | 0.38 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 7.62 | (5.32) | 13.71 | |
| CSV | Carriage Services | (0.06) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.07 | (1.89) | 6.13 |
Olaplex Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Olaplex price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Olaplex using various technical indicators. When you analyze Olaplex charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Olaplex Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Olaplex Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Olaplex Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Olaplex Holdings based on analysis of Olaplex Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Olaplex Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Olaplex Holdings's related companies. | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0266 | 0.0134 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.12 | 2.96 |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Olaplex Stock Analysis
When running Olaplex Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Olaplex Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Olaplex Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Olaplex Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Olaplex Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Olaplex Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Olaplex Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.