Owens Minor Stock Price Prediction

OMI Stock  USD 12.23  0.34  2.86%   
As of 22nd of November 2024, the relative strength index (RSI) of Owens Minor's share price is approaching 45. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Owens Minor, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

45

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Owens Minor's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Owens Minor, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Owens Minor's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.72)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.63
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.5036
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.8507
Wall Street Target Price
16
Using Owens Minor hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Owens Minor from the perspective of Owens Minor response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Owens Minor to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Owens because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Owens Minor after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 12.23  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Owens Minor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Owens Stock please use our How to Invest in Owens Minor guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.1211.0114.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.7211.6115.51
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
18.5620.4022.64
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.370.380.39
Details

Owens Minor After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Owens Minor at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Owens Minor or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Owens Minor, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Owens Minor Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Owens Minor's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Owens Minor's historical news coverage. Owens Minor's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.34 and 16.12, respectively. We have considered Owens Minor's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
12.23
12.23
After-hype Price
16.12
Upside
Owens Minor is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Owens Minor is based on 3 months time horizon.

Owens Minor Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Owens Minor is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Owens Minor backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Owens Minor, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.36 
3.89
  0.27 
  1.01 
9 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.23
12.23
0.00 
525.68  
Notes

Owens Minor Hype Timeline

On the 22nd of November Owens Minor is traded for 12.23. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.27, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.01. Owens is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.36%. %. The volatility of related hype on Owens Minor is about 139.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.24. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.05. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Owens Minor recorded a loss per share of 0.63. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of December 2021. The firm had 3:2 split on the 1st of April 2010. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Owens Minor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Owens Stock please use our How to Invest in Owens Minor guide.

Owens Minor Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Owens Minor's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Owens Minor's future price movements. Getting to know how Owens Minor's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Owens Minor may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Owens Minor Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Owens price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Owens using various technical indicators. When you analyze Owens charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Owens Minor Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Owens Minor stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Owens Minor, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Owens Minor based on analysis of Owens Minor hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Owens Minor's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Owens Minor's related companies.
 2021 2023 (projected)
Dividend Yield2.31E-42.08E-4
Price To Sales Ratio0.320.14

Story Coverage note for Owens Minor

The number of cover stories for Owens Minor depends on current market conditions and Owens Minor's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Owens Minor is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Owens Minor's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Owens Minor Short Properties

Owens Minor's future price predictability will typically decrease when Owens Minor's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Owens Minor often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Owens Minor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Owens Minor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding75.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments243 M

Complementary Tools for Owens Stock analysis

When running Owens Minor's price analysis, check to measure Owens Minor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Owens Minor is operating at the current time. Most of Owens Minor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Owens Minor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Owens Minor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Owens Minor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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