On Holding Stock Price Patterns
| ONON Stock | USD 45.29 0.01 0.02% |
Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.831 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.217 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.7526 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.3364 | Wall Street Target Price 62.6721 |
Using On Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of On Holding from the perspective of On Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards On Holding using On Holding's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ONON using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of On Holding's stock price.
On Holding Short Interest
An investor who is long On Holding may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about On Holding and may potentially protect profits, hedge On Holding with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 47.4462 | Short Percent 0.0667 | Short Ratio 3.17 | Shares Short Prior Month 21.7 M | 50 Day MA 46.6484 |
On Holding Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to On Holding's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ONON. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ONON can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around On Holding. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of On Holding's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about On Holding.
On Holding Implied Volatility | 0.57 |
On Holding's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of On Holding stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if On Holding's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that On Holding stock will not fluctuate a lot when On Holding's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in On Holding to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ONON because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
On Holding after-hype prediction price | USD 45.47 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current ONON contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that On Holding will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0356% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With On Holding trading at USD 45.29, that is roughly USD 0.0161 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating On Holding's daily price movement you should consider acquiring On Holding options at the current volatility level of 0.57%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out On Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. On Holding After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of On Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in On Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of On Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
On Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting On Holding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on On Holding's historical news coverage. On Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 43.24 and 47.70, respectively. We have considered On Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
On Holding is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of On Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
On Holding Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as On Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading On Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with On Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 2.23 | 0.07 | 0.02 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
45.29 | 45.47 | 0.18 |
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On Holding Hype Timeline
On Holding is now traded for 45.29. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. ONON is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 45.47 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.18%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on On Holding is about 1689.39%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 45.27. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.32 B. Net Income was 242.3 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.8 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out On Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.On Holding Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to On Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict On Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how On Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how On Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DECK | Deckers Outdoor | (2.89) | 9 per month | 1.50 | 0.16 | 4.19 | (2.59) | 22.05 | |
| SN | SharkNinja | (3.04) | 9 per month | 1.76 | 0.17 | 5.62 | (2.96) | 9.39 | |
| HTHT | Huazhu Group | 1.80 | 6 per month | 1.43 | 0.16 | 3.35 | (2.83) | 11.94 | |
| CHWY | Chewy Inc | (0.92) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 3.40 | (4.04) | 10.24 | |
| SCI | Service International | (0.02) | 8 per month | 0.75 | (0.01) | 1.92 | (1.13) | 4.53 | |
| CCK | Crown Holdings | 2.80 | 8 per month | 1.39 | 0.08 | 2.96 | (2.29) | 6.71 | |
| GAP | The Gap | (0.21) | 10 per month | 1.74 | 0.08 | 6.37 | (2.85) | 13.26 | |
| BALL | Ball Corporation | 0.33 | 7 per month | 1.05 | 0.23 | 3.45 | (1.76) | 8.69 | |
| GME | GameStop Corp | 0.50 | 9 per month | 1.87 | 0.04 | 4.44 | (3.42) | 13.39 | |
| WYNN | Wynn Resorts Limited | 0.33 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.18 | (2.67) | 7.85 |
On Holding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ONON price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ONON using various technical indicators. When you analyze ONON charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About On Holding Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of On Holding stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as On Holding, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of On Holding based on analysis of On Holding hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to On Holding's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to On Holding's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 41.71 | 38.75 | 44.56 | 51.99 | PTB Ratio | 6.77 | 12.11 | 13.92 | 13.23 |
Pair Trading with On Holding
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if On Holding position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in On Holding will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with ONON Stock
| 0.67 | SHOO | Steven Madden Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
Moving against ONON Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to On Holding could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace On Holding when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back On Holding - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling On Holding to buy it.
The correlation of On Holding is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as On Holding moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if On Holding moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for On Holding can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out On Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in ONON Stock, please use our How to Invest in On Holding guide.You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Will Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods sector continue expanding? Could ONON diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of On Holding. Anticipated expansion of ONON directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every On Holding data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.831 | Earnings Share 0.87 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.249 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate On Holding using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating On Holding's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause On Holding's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between On Holding's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding On Holding should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, On Holding's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.