Par Technology Stock Price Prediction

PAR Stock  USD 28.11  3.47  10.99%   
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of PAR Technology's share price is at 58 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling PAR Technology, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 58

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of PAR Technology's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of PAR Technology and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from PAR Technology's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with PAR Technology, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using PAR Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PAR Technology from the perspective of PAR Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in PAR Technology to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying PAR because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

PAR Technology after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 28.11  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out PAR Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in PAR Stock, please use our How to Invest in PAR Technology guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.7323.6130.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24.2228.1031.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
30.6335.8741.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as PAR Technology. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against PAR Technology's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, PAR Technology's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in PAR Technology.

PAR Technology After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of PAR Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PAR Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PAR Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

PAR Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting PAR Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PAR Technology's historical news coverage. PAR Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.23 and 31.99, respectively. We have considered PAR Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
28.11
28.11
After-hype Price
31.99
Upside
PAR Technology is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PAR Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.

PAR Technology Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PAR Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PAR Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PAR Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.29 
3.88
 0.00  
  0.02 
0 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
28.11
28.11
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

PAR Technology Hype Timeline

On the 27th of January PAR Technology is traded for 28.11. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. PAR is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.29%. %. The volatility of related hype on PAR Technology is about 5243.24%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.09. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.53. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. PAR Technology recorded a loss per share of 2.31. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 3:2 split on the 9th of January 2006. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out PAR Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in PAR Stock, please use our How to Invest in PAR Technology guide.

PAR Technology Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to PAR Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PAR Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how PAR Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PAR Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ALITAlight Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.30) 4.40 (5.56) 15.07 
AMPLAmplitude 0.00 0 per month 2.63  0  4.19 (4.44) 14.37 
KDKKodiak AI Common 0.00 0 per month 5.20  0.02  8.29 (7.72) 24.20 
LSPDLightspeed Commerce(0.29)3 per month 0.00 (0.04) 2.73 (4.61) 21.78 
PDPagerduty(0.16)10 per month 0.00 (0.16) 3.09 (5.08) 25.87 
MLNKMeridianlink 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
KAROKarooooo 0.00 0 per month 1.59  0.06  5.56 (2.84) 10.32 
FSLYFastly Class A 0.00 0 per month 2.85  0.08  5.70 (5.51) 44.62 
ADEAADEIA P(0.29)3 per month 4.07  0.02  4.89 (3.51) 33.50 
PRCHPorch Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.19) 4.22 (6.15) 42.64 

PAR Technology Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine PAR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PAR using various technical indicators. When you analyze PAR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About PAR Technology Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of PAR Technology stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as PAR Technology, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of PAR Technology based on analysis of PAR Technology hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to PAR Technology's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to PAR Technology's related companies.

Pair Trading with PAR Technology

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if PAR Technology position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in PAR Technology will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against PAR Stock

  0.52IMTE Integrated Media TecPairCorr
  0.5301379 Techshine ElectronicsPairCorr
  0.39300296 Leyard OptoelectronicPairCorr
  0.39603328 Guangdong EllingtonPairCorr
  0.34300184 Wuhan PS InformationPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to PAR Technology could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace PAR Technology when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back PAR Technology - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling PAR Technology to buy it.
The correlation of PAR Technology is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as PAR Technology moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if PAR Technology moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for PAR Technology can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for PAR Stock Analysis

When running PAR Technology's price analysis, check to measure PAR Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PAR Technology is operating at the current time. Most of PAR Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PAR Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PAR Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PAR Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.