Phillips Edison Co Stock Price Prediction
| PECO Stock | USD 35.19 0.23 0.65% |
Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.076 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1259 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.6087 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.677 | Wall Street Target Price 40 |
Using Phillips Edison hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Phillips Edison Co from the perspective of Phillips Edison response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Phillips Edison using Phillips Edison's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Phillips using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Phillips Edison's stock price.
Phillips Edison Short Interest
An investor who is long Phillips Edison may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Phillips Edison and may potentially protect profits, hedge Phillips Edison with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 34.9158 | Short Percent 0.0327 | Short Ratio 3.05 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.8 M | 50 Day MA 35.2313 |
Phillips Edison Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Phillips Edison's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Phillips. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Phillips can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Phillips Edison Co. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Phillips Edison's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Phillips Edison.
Phillips Edison Implied Volatility | 0.64 |
Phillips Edison's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Phillips Edison Co stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Phillips Edison's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Phillips Edison stock will not fluctuate a lot when Phillips Edison's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Phillips Edison to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Phillips because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Phillips Edison after-hype prediction price | USD 35.18 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Phillips contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Phillips Edison Co will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.04% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Phillips Edison trading at USD 35.19, that is roughly USD 0.0141 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Phillips Edison's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Phillips Edison Co options at the current volatility level of 0.64%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Phillips Edison Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Phillips Edison's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Phillips Edison After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Phillips Edison at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Phillips Edison or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Phillips Edison, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Phillips Edison Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Phillips Edison's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Phillips Edison's historical news coverage. Phillips Edison's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 34.35 and 36.01, respectively. We have considered Phillips Edison's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Phillips Edison is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Phillips Edison is based on 3 months time horizon.
Phillips Edison Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Phillips Edison is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Phillips Edison backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Phillips Edison, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 0.83 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 12 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
35.19 | 35.18 | 0.03 |
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Phillips Edison Hype Timeline
Phillips Edison is at this time traded for 35.19. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Phillips is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 35.18. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Phillips Edison is about 1697.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.19. About 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.96. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Phillips Edison has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 350.33. The entity last dividend was issued on the 17th of February 2026. The firm had 1:3 split on the 6th of July 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Phillips Edison Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Phillips Edison Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Phillips Edison's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Phillips Edison's future price movements. Getting to know how Phillips Edison's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Phillips Edison may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MAC | Macerich Company | (0.03) | 9 per month | 1.68 | (0.03) | 2.43 | (2.31) | 7.29 | |
| SKT | Tanger Factory Outlet | (0.16) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.96 | (1.82) | 5.57 | |
| REG | Regency Centers | (0.71) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.67 | (1.60) | 3.79 | |
| KRG | Kite Realty Group | (0.16) | 10 per month | 1.00 | (0.06) | 2.04 | (1.78) | 5.39 | |
| EPR | EPR Properties | 0.57 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.90 | (1.77) | 6.05 | |
| ABR | Arbor Realty Trust | 0.1 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 3.39 | (4.81) | 14.04 | |
| SBRA | Sabra Healthcare REIT | 0.07 | 4 per month | 1.20 | (0.02) | 2.04 | (1.75) | 5.40 | |
| SHO | Sunstone Hotel Investors | (0.21) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.13 | (2.77) | 8.32 | |
| CUZ | Cousins Properties Incorporated | 0.09 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.77 | (2.57) | 6.66 |
Phillips Edison Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Phillips price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Phillips using various technical indicators. When you analyze Phillips charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Phillips Edison Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Phillips Edison stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Phillips Edison Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Phillips Edison based on analysis of Phillips Edison hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Phillips Edison's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Phillips Edison's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0314 | 0.0291 | 0.0334 | 0.0557 | Price To Sales Ratio | 7.09 | 6.97 | 6.27 | 3.73 |
Pair Trading with Phillips Edison
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Phillips Edison position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Phillips Edison will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Phillips Stock
Moving against Phillips Stock
| 0.78 | WHLR | Wheeler Real Estate | PairCorr |
| 0.77 | OPINL | Office Properties Income | PairCorr |
| 0.76 | ORGN | Origin Materials | PairCorr |
| 0.39 | UIS | Unisys | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Phillips Edison could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Phillips Edison when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Phillips Edison - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Phillips Edison Co to buy it.
The correlation of Phillips Edison is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Phillips Edison moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Phillips Edison moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Phillips Edison can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Phillips Edison Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Will Retail REITs sector continue expanding? Could Phillips diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Phillips Edison. Anticipated expansion of Phillips directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Phillips Edison data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.076 | Dividend Share 1.236 | Earnings Share 0.66 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.104 |
Understanding Phillips Edison requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Phillips's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Phillips Edison's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Phillips Edison's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Phillips Edison's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Phillips Edison should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Phillips Edison's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.