Kite Realty Group Stock Price Prediction
| KRG Stock | USD 23.23 0.53 2.23% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
27
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 7.072 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.08 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.025 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.39 | Wall Street Target Price 29.8 |
Using Kite Realty hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kite Realty Group from the perspective of Kite Realty response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Kite Realty using Kite Realty's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Kite using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Kite Realty's stock price.
Kite Realty Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Kite Realty's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Kite. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Kite Realty stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 24.2673 | Short Percent 0.0513 | Short Ratio 4.41 | Shares Short Prior Month 7 M | 50 Day MA 25.3928 |
Kite Realty Group Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Kite Realty's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Kite. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Kite can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Kite Realty Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Kite Realty's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Kite Realty.
Kite Realty Implied Volatility | 0.93 |
Kite Realty's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Kite Realty Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Kite Realty's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Kite Realty stock will not fluctuate a lot when Kite Realty's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kite Realty to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kite because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Kite Realty after-hype prediction price | USD 23.23 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Kite contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Kite Realty Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0581% per day over the life of the 2025-03-21 option contract. With Kite Realty trading at USD 23.23, that is roughly USD 0.0135 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Kite Realty's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Kite Realty Group options at the current volatility level of 0.93%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Kite |
Kite Realty After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kite Realty at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kite Realty or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kite Realty, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kite Realty Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kite Realty's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kite Realty's historical news coverage. Kite Realty's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.82 and 24.64, respectively. We have considered Kite Realty's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kite Realty is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kite Realty Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kite Realty Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kite Realty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kite Realty backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kite Realty, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 1.37 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
23.23 | 23.23 | 0.04 |
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Kite Realty Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January Kite Realty Group is traded for 23.23. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Kite is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 23.23. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Kite Realty is about 2140.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.22. About 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.56. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Kite Realty Group has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 220.3. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.04. The firm last dividend was issued on the 10th of January 2025. Kite Realty had 1:4 split on the 12th of August 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Kite Realty Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Kite Realty Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kite Realty's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kite Realty's future price movements. Getting to know how Kite Realty's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kite Realty may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SITC | Site Centers Corp | 0.14 | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.33 | (2.17) | 5.70 | |
| CBL | CBL Associates Properties | 0.53 | 8 per month | 1.15 | 0.03 | 2.75 | (1.79) | 8.04 | |
| UE | Urban Edge Properties | 0.1 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.70 | (2.36) | 6.09 | |
| AKR | Acadia Realty Trust | (0.05) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.96 | (2.50) | 6.68 | |
| RPT | Rithm Property Trust | (0.08) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.10 | (2.69) | 10.65 | |
| ROIC | Retail Opportunity Investments | 0.02 | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.35 | (0.32) | 9.02 | |
| IVT | Inventrust Properties Corp | (1.12) | 10 per month | 1.23 | (0.04) | 1.62 | (2.01) | 5.92 | |
| BFS | Saul Centers | (0.06) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.66 | (1.92) | 6.75 | |
| PINE | Alpineome Property Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.63 | (1.79) | 6.72 | |
| FCPT | Four Corners Property | (0.12) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.90 | (2.34) | 5.47 |
Kite Realty Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kite price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kite using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kite charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Kite Realty Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Kite Realty stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kite Realty Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kite Realty based on analysis of Kite Realty hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kite Realty's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kite Realty's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.039 | 0.042 | 0.0616 | Price To Sales Ratio | 5.75 | 6.09 | 5.95 |
Story Coverage note for Kite Realty
The number of cover stories for Kite Realty depends on current market conditions and Kite Realty's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kite Realty is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kite Realty's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kite Realty Short Properties
Kite Realty's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kite Realty's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kite Realty Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kite Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kite Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 219.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 36.4 M |
Complementary Tools for Kite Stock analysis
When running Kite Realty's price analysis, check to measure Kite Realty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kite Realty is operating at the current time. Most of Kite Realty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kite Realty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kite Realty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kite Realty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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