Pacific Alliance Bank Stock Price Patterns
| PFBN Stock | USD 8.45 0.19 2.30% |
Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Pacific Alliance hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pacific Alliance Bank from the perspective of Pacific Alliance response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Pacific Alliance to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Pacific because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Pacific Alliance after-hype prediction price | USD 8.45 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Pacific |
Pacific Alliance After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Pacific Alliance at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pacific Alliance or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Pacific Alliance, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Pacific Alliance Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Pacific Alliance's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pacific Alliance's historical news coverage. Pacific Alliance's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.56 and 9.34, respectively. We have considered Pacific Alliance's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Pacific Alliance is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pacific Alliance Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.
Pacific Alliance Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pacific Alliance is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pacific Alliance backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pacific Alliance, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
8.45 | 8.45 | 0.00 |
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Pacific Alliance Hype Timeline
Pacific Alliance Bank is at this time traded for 8.45. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Pacific is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Pacific Alliance is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.45. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.47. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Pacific Alliance Bank recorded a loss per share of 1.44. The entity last dividend was issued on the 24th of February 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Pacific Alliance Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Pacific Alliance Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Pacific Alliance's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pacific Alliance's future price movements. Getting to know how Pacific Alliance's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pacific Alliance may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NCXS | National Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 0.67 | 0.00 | 8.13 | |
| FSBH | First Southern Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1.27 | (0.90) | 55.52 | |
| FBPA | The Farmers Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 1.88 | 0.00 | 11.25 | |
| GTPS | Great American Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.79 | 0.02 | 1.85 | (2.19) | 10.96 | |
| AMFC | AMB Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.20 | 1.23 | 0.00 | 3.29 | |
| CNBZ | CNB Corporation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 2.17 | (1.93) | 24.52 | |
| ELMA | Elmer Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.08 | 0.13 | 0.80 | (0.76) | 3.31 | |
| PCLB | Pinnacle Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1.49 | (0.78) | 4.02 | |
| JFWV | Jefferson Security Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.18 | 2.68 | 0.00 | 4.33 | |
| IBWC | IBW Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.00 | (0.34) | 22.45 |
Pacific Alliance Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Pacific price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pacific using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pacific charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Pacific Alliance Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Pacific Alliance stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Pacific Alliance Bank, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Pacific Alliance based on analysis of Pacific Alliance hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Pacific Alliance's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Pacific Alliance's related companies.
Pair Trading with Pacific Alliance
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Pacific Alliance position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Pacific Alliance will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Pacific Pink Sheet
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Pacific Alliance could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Pacific Alliance when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Pacific Alliance - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Pacific Alliance Bank to buy it.
The correlation of Pacific Alliance is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Pacific Alliance moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Pacific Alliance Bank moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Pacific Alliance can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Other Information on Investing in Pacific Pink Sheet
Pacific Alliance financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pacific Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pacific with respect to the benefits of owning Pacific Alliance security.