Long Term Government Fund Price Prediction
| PFGCX Fund | USD 14.30 0.04 0.28% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
36
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Long-term hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Long Term Government Fund from the perspective of Long-term response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Long-term to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Long-term because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Long-term after-hype prediction price | USD 14.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Long-term |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Long-term's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Long-term After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Long-term at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Long-term or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Long-term, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Long-term Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Long-term's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Long-term's historical news coverage. Long-term's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.52 and 15.08, respectively. We have considered Long-term's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Long-term is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Long Term Government is based on 3 months time horizon.
Long-term Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Long-term is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Long-term backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Long-term, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 0.78 | 0.00 | 4.61 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
14.30 | 14.30 | 0.00 |
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Long-term Hype Timeline
Long Term Government is at this time traded for 14.30. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 4.61. Long-term is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Long-term is about 1.02%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.91. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Long-term Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Long-term Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Long-term's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Long-term's future price movements. Getting to know how Long-term's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Long-term may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TRBCX | T Rowe Price | (0.24) | 1 per month | 0.95 | 0.0009 | 1.66 | (2.18) | 4.86 | |
| DOXGX | Dodge Cox Stock | (2.32) | 1 per month | 0.45 | (0.05) | 0.94 | (0.93) | 4.22 | |
| AAAIX | Strategic Allocation Aggressive | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.44 | (0.12) | 0.95 | (0.70) | 2.41 | |
| TADGX | T Rowe Price | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.52 | (0.12) | 0.99 | (0.94) | 2.87 | |
| TAGRX | Fundamental Large Cap | 463.07 | 2 per month | 0.73 | (0.03) | 0.99 | (1.43) | 4.03 | |
| PLAAX | Pace Large Growth | 0.14 | 2 per month | 0.78 | (0) | 1.45 | (1.94) | 4.19 |
Long-term Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Long-term price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Long-term using various technical indicators. When you analyze Long-term charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Long-term Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Long-term stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Long Term Government Fund, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Long-term based on analysis of Long-term hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Long-term's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Long-term's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Long-term
The number of cover stories for Long-term depends on current market conditions and Long-term's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Long-term is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Long-term's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Long-term Mutual Fund
Long-term financial ratios help investors to determine whether Long-term Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Long-term with respect to the benefits of owning Long-term security.
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