Phinia Inc Stock Price Patterns
| PHIN Stock | 73.69 2.61 3.67% |
Momentum 64
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.53) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.1415 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.9509 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.8398 | Wall Street Target Price 78 |
Using PHINIA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PHINIA Inc from the perspective of PHINIA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards PHINIA using PHINIA's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards PHINIA using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of PHINIA's stock price.
PHINIA Short Interest
An investor who is long PHINIA may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about PHINIA and may potentially protect profits, hedge PHINIA with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 53.6906 | Short Percent 0.1042 | Short Ratio 6.02 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.6 M | 50 Day MA 63.5548 |
PHINIA Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to PHINIA's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in PHINIA. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding PHINIA can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around PHINIA Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of PHINIA's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about PHINIA.
PHINIA Implied Volatility | 0.54 |
PHINIA's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of PHINIA Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if PHINIA's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that PHINIA stock will not fluctuate a lot when PHINIA's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in PHINIA to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying PHINIA because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
PHINIA after-hype prediction price | USD 73.92 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current PHINIA contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that PHINIA Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0338% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With PHINIA trading at USD 73.69, that is roughly USD 0.0249 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating PHINIA's daily price movement you should consider acquiring PHINIA Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.54%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out PHINIA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. PHINIA After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PHINIA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PHINIA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PHINIA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PHINIA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PHINIA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PHINIA's historical news coverage. PHINIA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 72.33 and 75.51, respectively. We have considered PHINIA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PHINIA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PHINIA Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
PHINIA Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PHINIA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PHINIA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PHINIA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.52 | 1.58 | 0.14 | 0.09 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
73.69 | 73.92 | 0.31 |
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PHINIA Hype Timeline
PHINIA Inc is at this time traded for 73.69. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. PHINIA is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 73.92 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.31%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.52%. The volatility of related hype on PHINIA is about 905.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 73.78. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.4 B. Net Income was 79 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 758 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out PHINIA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.PHINIA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PHINIA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PHINIA's future price movements. Getting to know how PHINIA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PHINIA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GT | Goodyear Tire Rubber | (0.02) | 7 per month | 1.20 | 0.22 | 6.56 | (2.47) | 11.63 | |
| ADNT | Adient PLC | (0.60) | 8 per month | 3.84 | 0.03 | 5.22 | (5.12) | 16.72 | |
| SAH | Sonic Automotive | 0.48 | 10 per month | 1.83 | (0.04) | 3.41 | (3.19) | 7.72 | |
| UAA | Under Armour A | (0.26) | 12 per month | 2.09 | 0.20 | 6.44 | (4.18) | 13.53 | |
| WWW | Wolverine World Wide | 0.14 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.02 | (4.56) | 24.27 | |
| MCW | Mister Car Wash | 0.00 | 10 per month | 1.88 | 0.05 | 4.13 | (3.56) | 10.66 | |
| BLBD | Blue Bird Corp | 0.44 | 11 per month | 2.16 | 0.06 | 2.70 | (3.24) | 12.97 | |
| DAN | Dana Inc | 1.06 | 10 per month | 1.14 | 0.24 | 5.01 | (2.89) | 13.40 | |
| TRIP | TripAdvisor | 0.33 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.15 | (5.71) | 15.83 |
PHINIA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PHINIA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PHINIA using various technical indicators. When you analyze PHINIA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About PHINIA Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of PHINIA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as PHINIA Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of PHINIA based on analysis of PHINIA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to PHINIA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to PHINIA's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0208 | 0.0187 | 0.0148 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.62 | 0.72 | 0.83 |
Pair Trading with PHINIA
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if PHINIA position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in PHINIA will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with PHINIA Stock
| 0.86 | 7FZ | INTER CARS SA | PairCorr |
| 0.85 | AXL | American Axle Manufa Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.64 | CPS | Cooper Stnd Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
Moving against PHINIA Stock
| 0.9 | MTEN | Mingteng International | PairCorr |
| 0.77 | N37 | National Tyre Wheel | PairCorr |
| 0.68 | M4HA | METAIR INVTS LTD | PairCorr |
| 0.57 | DORM | Dorman Products | PairCorr |
| 0.45 | 54M | Motorcar Parts Earnings Call Today | PairCorr |
| 0.39 | DDT | Datadot Technology | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to PHINIA could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace PHINIA when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back PHINIA - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling PHINIA Inc to buy it.
The correlation of PHINIA is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as PHINIA moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if PHINIA Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for PHINIA can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out PHINIA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Will Automotive Parts & Equipment sector continue expanding? Could PHINIA diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PHINIA. Anticipated expansion of PHINIA directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every PHINIA data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.53) | Dividend Share 1.06 | Earnings Share 2.23 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.082 |
PHINIA Inc's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on PHINIA's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate PHINIA's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since PHINIA's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between PHINIA's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding PHINIA should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, PHINIA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.